粤港澳大湾区与“一带一路”沿线国家的经济关联  

Economic Correlation Between Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and Countries along the Belt and Road

作　　者：毛艳华[1,2] 张超 钟世川 MAO Yanhua;ZHANG Chao;ZHONG Shichuan(The Center for Studies of Hong Kong,Macao and Pearl River Delta,Sun Yat-sen University,Guangzhou 510275,Guangdong,China;Institute of Regional Openness and Cooperation,Sun Yat-sen University,Guangzhou 510275,Guangdong,China;School of Economics and Trade,Guangdong University of Finance,Guangzhou 510521,Guangdong,China)

机构地区：[1]中山大学港澳珠江三角洲研究中心,中国广东广州510275 [2]中山大学区域开放与合作研究院,中国广东广州510275 [3]广东金融学院经济贸易学院,中国广东广州510521

出　　处：《经济地理》2025年第1期25-35,共11页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金重点项目(U1601218);国家社会科学基金重大项目(18ZDA041);国家社会科学基金“一带一路”建设研究专项项目(19VDL010);南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室(珠海)资助项目(SML2020SP002)。

摘　　要：文章基于2002—2019年粤港澳大湾区与“一带一路”沿线国家的进出口数据,利用社会网络分析法分析了其经济关联网络的结构特征和影响因素。结果表明:①整体上粤港澳大湾区与“一带一路”沿线国家组成的网络密度不断增强,等级属性弱化,网络结构日益稳定。②粤港澳大湾区的网络中心性均不断上升,且广东和香港地区的上升幅度明显高于澳门地区。③进一步对网络成员中心性的影响因素进行分析发现,经济规模、贸易开放程度、研发投入、人力资本、金融发展水平对中心性具有显著的正向促进作用;而对广东、香港地区所在的核心层来说,经济规模、贸易开放程度和研发支出是中心性的主要影响因素。因此,为促进粤港澳大湾区与“一带一路”沿线国家的经济联动发展,粤港澳大湾区应进一步扩大对外开放,促进要素自由流动,注重科技研发,加快建设市场化、国际化、法治化的营商环境。Based on the import and export data from the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and countries along the Belt and Road Initiative from 2002 to 2019,this study utilizes the social network analysis to investigate the structural characteristics and influencing factors of their economic relationship networks.The research findings indicate that overall,the network density between the Guangdong-Hong Kong region-Macao region Greater Bay Area and countries along the Belt and Road Initiative has continuously increased,while hierarchical attributes have weakened,and the network structure has become increasingly stable.2)The network centrality of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area has consistently risen,with Guangdong and Hong Kong region experiencing significantly greater increases than Macao region.3)Further empirical analysis of factors influencing network centrality among network members shows that economic size,trade openness,research and development investment,human capital,and financial development level have significant positive effects on network centrality.However,for the core layers comprising Guangdong and Hong Kong,economic size,trade openness,and research and development investment are the primary influencing factors on network centrality.Therefore,to promote economic linkage development between the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and countries along the Belt and Road Initiative,the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area should further enhance its openness,facilitate free flow of factors,focus on technological research and development,and accelerate the construction of a market-oriented,internationalized,and rule-of-law business environment.

关 键 词：粤港澳大湾区 “一带一路” 经济关联 贸易开放度 社会网络分析 网络中心性 

分 类 号：F114.4[经济管理—国际贸易]