省会城市扩张对产业升级的“本地效应”和“邻地效应”——基于撤县(市)设区准实验的分析  

“Local Effect”and“Neighbor Effect”of Provincial Capital Expansion on IndustrialUpgrading:Based on the Quasi-experiment of County-to-District Reforms

作　　者：王鹤[1,2] 王钧艺 黄锦程 WANG He;WANG Junyi;HUANG Jincheng(School of Business,Hunan University of Science and Technology,Xiangtan 411201,Hunan,China;Center for High-quality Regional Economic Development,Hunan University of Science and Technology,Xiangtan 411201,Hunan,China)

机构地区：[1]湖南科技大学商学院,中国湖南湘潭411201 [2]湖南科技大学区域经济高质量发展研究中心,中国湖南湘潭411201

出　　处：《经济地理》2025年第1期48-57,共10页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(23BJY245);湖南省自然科学基金项目(2023JJ30269)。

摘　　要：文章运用空间双重差分模型,实证检验了省会城市撤县(市)设区对产业结构升级的效应和影响。结果表明:①省会城市撤县(市)设区显著促进了自身的产业升级,但对省内其他地级市的产业升级产生负向影响;②省会城市撤县(市)设区对周边城市产业升级的抑制作用,随距离的增加呈现出先增后降的倒“U”型趋势,且多中心布局模式下的抑制作用更强;③在经济发展相对落后的西部地区,省会城市撤县(市)设区对周边地级市产业升级的抑制作用更强,且更高的行政级别抑制作用更明显;④要素挤占、引资竞争和创新削弱等是省会城市撤县(市)设区影响周边地级市产业升级的重要渠道。研究结论可为新形势下促进区域协调发展和可持续发展提供理论借鉴。This paper empirically examines the effects and impacts of the"County-to-District Reforms"in provincial capitals on industrial structure upgrading by utilizing a quasi-natural experiment and applying a spatial difference-indifferences(DID)model.The results indicate the following:1)The"County-to-District Reforms"in provincial capitals significantly promote their own industrial upgrading but exert a negative impact on the industrial upgrading of other prefecture-level cities within the same province.2)The inhibitory effect of the"County-to-District Reforms"on the industrial upgrading of surrounding cities follows an inverted U-shaped trend,initially increasing and then decreasing with distance.Moreover,this inhibition effect is stronger under the multi-center layout pattern.3)In the relatively less developed western regions,the"County-to-District Reforms"in provincial capitals have a more pronounced inhibitory effect on the industrial upgrading of surrounding prefecture-level cities.Additionally,higher administrative levels amplify this restraining effect.4)Key channels through which the"County-to-District Reforms"affect the industrial upgrading of surrounding prefecture-level cities include factor crowding-out,investment competition,and weakened innovation capacity.The findings of this study provide theoretical insights for promoting regional coordinated development and sustainable development under new circumstances.

关 键 词：省会城市 撤县(市)设区 产业升级 空间双重差分 本地效应 邻地效应 

分 类 号：F019.6[经济管理—政治经济学]