A dengue epidemic model with the impact of media influence  

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作  者:QIAO Xia ZHANG Tai-lei HOU Yue 

机构地区:[1]School of Science,Chang'an University,Xi'an 710064,China

出  处:《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》2025年第1期238-254,共17页高校应用数学学报(英文版)(B辑)

基  金:Supported by the Natural Science Basic Research Plan in Shaanxi Province of China(2022JM-023)。

摘  要:In this paper,we establish an ShIhAhSvIvW model to investigate the impact of media communication on the transmission mechanism of dengue fever.Firstly,the basic reproduction number R0of the model is obtained by using the method of the next generation matrix.It shows that disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when R0<1;the disease is uniformly persistent when R_(0)>1.Secondly,we select dengue fever case data from Guangdong Province from 2006 to 2019 for numerical simulations and predict its development trend.Finally,we conduct parameter sensitivity analysis,and the results show that increasing media publicity can to some extent reduce the number of patients.

关 键 词:dengue fever basic reproduction number uniform persistence media factors numerical predic-tion 

分 类 号:F42[经济管理—产业经济]

 

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