收入法核算框架下中国全口径产业数字化增加值规模测算研究  

Research on Measurement of the Full-caliber Scale of Industrial Digitalization in China under the Accounting Framework of Income Approach

作　　者：陈光慧[1] 李文华 Chen Guanghui;Li Wenhua

机构地区：[1]暨南大学经济学院

出　　处：《统计研究》2025年第2期3-18,共16页Statistical Research

基　　金：2024年度全国统计科学研究重大项目“构建与高水平社会主义市场经济体制相适应的统计调查体系研究”(2024LD001)。

摘　　要：在数字经济核算中,产业数字化由于边界模糊、内容广杂等问题,其增加值规模核算仍存在较大挑战。本文紧扣2021年6月国家统计局发布的《数字经济及其核心产业统计分类(2021)》中数字经济的内涵与分类,以国民经济核算体系中的收入法为基础,构建全口径产业数字化核算框架,设计与我国核算体系相协调的产业数字化增加值规模核算方法。根据数字技术(视同信息通信技术(ICT))对各行业生产的渗透作用,从ICT替代效应和ICT协同效应视角,考虑收入法4项构成的价值表征,改进工厂整体效率,进而量化数据要素贡献并测度ICT协同效应。同时,利用该方法从行业和产业层面,测算我国2013—2022年产业数字化规模,分析我国产业数字化总体规模、发展态势和产业结构。结果表明:产业数字化的发展速度在一定程度上快于整体经济,2020年以来产业数字化发展迅猛且潜力巨大,金融业和农业的数字化程度相对较高。通过与现行各类测算方法相比,本文提出的这套核算方法,在核算范围、核算视角和核算内容上具有一定优势,对于我国统计部门未来开展数字经济统计核算工作具有借鉴参考意义。Measurement of the scale of industrial digitalization remains a major challenge in the accounting of the digital economy due to the fuzzy boundaries and extensive content.This paper follows the definition and classification of the digital economy in the Statistical Classification of the Digital Economy and Its Core Industries(2021)issued by the National Bureau of Statistics in June 2021.And a full-caliber industrial digitalization accounting framework is built based on the income approach in the System of National Accounts,and an accounting methodology is designed in coordination with China's accounting system.We consider the value characterization of the four components of the income approach from the perspective of the ICT substitution effect and the ICT synergy effect.Subsequently,we improve the overall factory efficiency and quantify the contribution of the data factor and the ICT synergy effect accordingly.Furthermore,the methodology is applied to measure the scale of industrial digitization in China from 2013 to 2022,offering insights into its overall scale,development trends,and industrial structure.The results show that industrial digitization exhibits a degree of development outpacing that of the entire economy;industrial digitization has witnessed rapid advancement since 2020,possessing significant potential;the financial sector and agriculture demonstrate relatively high degrees of digitalization.Compared with the existing measurement methods,the set of methodologies proposed in this paper has certain advantages in terms of accounting scope,accounting perspective and accounting content.Consequently,the methodologies hold valuable implications for future statistical accounting endeavors concerning the digital economy in China's statistical agencies.

关 键 词：数字经济 产业数字化 增加值测算 工厂整体效率 ICT协同效应 

分 类 号：F221[经济管理—国民经济]