乡村振兴与新质生产力协同发展的时空演化及障碍因子分析  

Analysis of the Spatiotemporal Evolution and Obstacle Factors of the Synergistic Development of Rural Revitalization and New Quality Productivity

作　　者：杨承达 起建凌[1] 金璟[1] 杨天杭 YANG Chengda;QI Jianling;JIN Jing;YANG Tianhang(College of Economics and Management,Yunnan Agricultural University,Kunming 650201,China)

机构地区：[1]云南农业大学经济管理学院,云南昆明650201

出　　处：《云南农业大学学报(社会科学版)》2025年第2期9-19,共11页Journal of Yunnan Agricultural University(Social Science)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“西南边疆民族地区农村家庭相对贫困的多维评价、测度及治理研究”(21BMZ053)。

摘　　要：新质生产力是推动乡村全面振兴的内在引擎。研究基于2013—2022年我国31个省级面板数据,构建乡村振兴发展水平和新质生产力水平指标体系。通过耦合协调模型,对二者关系进行测算和分析,并用Dagum基尼系数等方法探讨我国乡村振兴与新质生产力之间的时空演化特征并分析其障碍因子。结果表明:(1)乡村振兴与新质生产力的综合发展水平呈上升趋势;(2)二者的耦合协调度在逐渐提高,整体协调水平仍然较低;(3)二者空间异质性明显,形成“东高西低”的分布格局,两系统间存在空间正相关性,且存在显著的集聚效应;(4)二者协同发展水平呈现非均衡状态,总体差异主要是由区域间差异构成;(5)制约二者协同发展的障碍因子主要是科技生产力和数字生产力。由此提出加大政策扶持力度、优化乡村资源配置、强化科技人才支撑的对策建议。New quality productive forces constitute the fundamental engine propelling comprehensive rural revitalization.Utilizing panel data from 31 provinces in China between 2013 and 2022,this research established an indicator system to assess the development level of rural revitalization and the advancement of new quality productive forces.By employing a coupling coordination model,the study measured and analyzed the interrelationship between these two factors,and utilized methods such as the Dagum Gini coefficient to investigate the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of rural revitalization and new quality productive forces in China,as well as to identify the impediments.The findings revealed that:(1)The overall development level of rural revitalization and new quality productive forced exhibits an upward trajectory.(2)The coupling coordination between the two was progressively intensifying,although the overall coordination level persisted at a low ebb.(3)There existed pronounced spatial heterogeneity,resulting in a distribution pattern characterized by“high in the east and low in the west”,with a positive spatial correlation between the two systems and notable agglomeration effects.(4)The state of coordinated development between the two was marked by imbalance,with the overall variance predominantly due to inter-regional disparities.(5)The barriers to the coordinated between the two were predominantly technological productive forces and digital productive forces.Therefore countermeasures and recommendations were put forth,encompassing the enhancement of policy support,optimization of rural resource allocation,as well as reinforcement of technological talent support.

关 键 词：乡村振兴 新质生产力 耦合协调 时空差异 障碍因子 

分 类 号：F320.3[经济管理—产业经济]