中国与RCEP成员国纺织产业内贸易影响因素研究  

Research on Influencing Factors of Intra-textile Trade Between China and RCEP Member Countries

作　　者：赵朦 姚蕾[1] ZHAO Meng;YAO Lei(Business School,Beijing Institute of Fashion Technology,Beijing 100029,China)

机构地区：[1]北京服装学院商学院,北京100029

出　　处：《北京服装学院学报(自然科学版)》2025年第1期103-109,共7页Journal of Beijing Institute of Fashion Technology:Natural Science Edition

基　　金：“服装学”新兴交叉学科平台建设项目(JCXK2324)。

摘　　要：为更准确地解释我国与RCEP成员国纺织产业内贸易的特点及空间分布规律,本文以2010—2022年中国与RCEP成员国的空间面板数据为基础,构造空间计量模型,研究中国与RCEP成员国的纺织产业内贸易的影响因素以及影响程度。通过设定反距离矩阵和经济距离权重矩阵,与采用地理权重矩阵的空间计量模型进行对比。结果表明:产业规模、开放程度等变量的空间自回归系数均呈现出显著的正向效应,人均收入差异和产业失衡程度的系数则为负。此外,接收来自中国的对外直接投资展现出了极为显著的空间溢出效应。因此,研究认为我国应推动纺织产业持续开放并维持其平衡发展,确保产业发展空间。在此基础上,鼓励纺织产业积极面对市场竞争,通过提升竞争力来巩固市场地位;通过优化对外直接投资策略,降本增效,进一步促进产业内贸易的发展。In order to more accurately explain the characteristics and spatial distribution of intra-textile trade between China and RCEP member states,this paper constructs a spatial econometric model based on the spatial panel data of China and RCEP member states from 2010 to 2022,and studies the influencing factors of intra-textile trade between China and RCEP member states and the extent of their impact.The model is estimated by setting the inverse distance matrix and the economic distance weight matrix,and the estimated results are basically consistent with the conclusions when the geographical weight matrix is used.The results show that the spatial autoregressive coefficients of the variables such as industry scale and openness have a significant positive effect,while the coefficients of the per capita income difference and the degree of industrial imbalance are negative.In addition,receiving OFDI from China shows a very significant spatial spillover effect.Therefore,the study believes that China should promote the continuous opening of the textile industry and maintain its balanced development to ensure the space for industrial development.On this basis,On this basis,the textile industry should be encouraged to actively face the market competition and consolidate its market position by enhancing its competitiveness.The development of intra-industry trade will be further promoted by optimizing the strategy of foreign direct investment,reducing cost and increasing efficiency.

关 键 词：纺织产业 产业内贸易 RCEP成员国 空间溢出效应 

分 类 号：TS1[轻工技术与工程—纺织科学与工程] F744[经济管理—国际贸易]