Comprehensive index of extreme climate risk in China and urban sustainable development  

作　　者：Feng Dong Siqing Wang Guang Yang 

机构地区：[1]School of Economics and Management,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China [2]School of Economics,Central University of Finance and Economics,Beijing 102206,China [3]School of Economics,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China

出　　处：《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》2025年第1期62-74,共13页中国人口·资源与环境(英文版)

基　　金：supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China under the theme“Construction of a data representation framework for sustainable development indicators”[Grant No.2022YFC3802903-01];the National Natural Science Foundation of China“An economic theory based on the new production function in carbon neutrality”[Grant No.72250064];the National Natural Science Foundation of China“Macroeconomics”[Grant No.72122011].

摘　　要：Climate change severely challenges our ecosystem and society,affecting urban residents’socioeconomic activities.Thus,assessing severe weather risk is crucial for evaluating urban sustainability;understanding trends,causes,and impacts on socioeconomic development;and supporting the United Nations Sustainable Development Goal(SDG)13.Using meteorological data from 1980 to 2020,we investigate five disaster-causing severe weather events in China and construct a comprehensive index of extreme climate risk(CIECR)at the county,city,province,and national levels.The CIECR can identify high-risk regions and primary severe weather events and provide early warnings.We empirically test the impact of extreme climate risks on agricultural production,industrial structure,and labor employment.The results show high risks in Xinjiang,northern Inner Mongolia,and southern regions,with high temperatures,low temperatures,and high winds as the leading risks.At the national level,the extreme climate risk fluctuates,indicating climate warming.While risks reduce agricultural production and employment,they promote modern agriculture,industrial production,and urbanization.The novelty of the study lies in its development of the county-level CIECR,which can capture heterogeneity characteristics and provide microdata support for urban climate change research and efforts toward SDG 13.This study aids in mitigating climate risks;responding to climate change;and comprehensively analyzing the causes,trends,and impacts of extreme climate risks.

关 键 词：Urban sustainable development SDG 13 Comprehensive index of extreme climate risk Climate change 

分 类 号：F42[经济管理—产业经济]