面向居民福祉的国土空间规划监测评估预警模型体系研究——基于可行能力理论  

Research on the well-being-oriented model system of monitoring-evaluation-warning for territorial spatial planning:Based on the capability approach

作　　者：焦林申 张敏 甄峰[2,3,4] 张姗琪 秦萧[2,3,4] JIAO Lin-shen;ZHANG Min;ZHEN Feng;ZHANG Shan-qi;QIN Xiao(School Spatial Planning,Hangzhou City University,Hangzhou 310015,China;Key Laboratory of Urban AI and Green Built Environment of Provincial Higher Education Institutes,Nanjing 210093,China;School of Architecture and Urban Planning,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210093,China;Jiangsu Provincial Engineering Laboratory of Smart City Design Simulation&Visualization,Nanjing 210093,China)

机构地区：[1]浙大城市学院国土空间规划学院,杭州310015 [2]城市AI与绿色人居环境营造省高校重点实验室,南京210093 [3]南京大学建筑与城市规划学院,南京210093 [4]江苏省智慧城市规划与数字治理工程研究中心,南京210093

出　　处：《自然资源学报》2025年第3期584-599,共16页Journal of Natural Resources

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(42271230,42330510)。

摘　　要：国土空间规划监测评估预警不仅是全国国土空间规划实施监测网络(CSPON)建设的重点内容,也是落实以民生福祉为发展根本目的的福祉发展观的重要抓手;然而现有研究侧重于空间要素和技术方法,对人的关怀不足,存在“见地不见人”的问题。基于对理解发展和福祉产生重大影响的可行能力理论,构建面向居民福祉的国土空间规划监测评估预警概念模型;在此基础上形成以居民福祉为价值标准,以动态监测、精准评估和及时预警为主要内容,以大数据、人工智能和云计算为关键技术支撑的智能模型体系;并以常熟市为例构建应用情景,展示模型体系在落实福祉发展观、推动智慧规划转型方面的应用价值。研究可为CSPON建设和实施监督体系提供理论借鉴和方法支撑。The monitoring-evaluation-warning of territorial spatial planning is not only the key content of China Spatial Planning Observation Network(CSPON)but also an important mean to implement the people-centered development thought.However,existing studies predominantly emphasize spatial elements while overlooking resident well-being.The Capability Approach(CA)has been a powerful and more widely used evaluative framework for individual well-being and public policy.From the view of the CA,well-being is defined as capabilities and is the end for the human-oriented development.Inspired by the CA,this paper constructed an innovative conceptual model for well-being-oriented monitoring-evaluation-warning of territorial spatial planning.In this conceptual model,well-being is the final target instead of the spatial results,as well as a people-centered development ideology.The model is composed of three core elements:dynamic monitoring,accurate evaluation,and timely early warning.It is technologically underpinned by big data,artificial intelligence,and cloud computing,which together offer robust analytical capabilities.Compared to existing research,our monitoring,evaluation,and warning system not only focuses on territorial space and key technologies but also encompasses the well-being of residents and the relationship between territorial space and resident well-being.Thus,we extend the scope of traditional studies by integrating well-being into the implementation and supervision of the territorial spatial planning,ensuring a more holistic and inclusive assessment of the planning's impact.To support the evolution of smart planning,we proposed three smart model systems for dynamic monitoring,accurate evaluation,and timely early warning respectively.The results of the practical application in the built environment show the promise of applying the model system to CSPON.This paper enriches existing literature by incorporating the CA and well-being,offering a novel perspective on how to reconceptualize the monitoring,evaluation and

关 键 词：国土空间规划 监测评估预警 居民福祉 可行能力理论 大数据与人工智能 

分 类 号：TU9[建筑科学]