新型电力系统的气候风险适应性分析及展望  

Climate Risk Adaptation Analysis and Prospect of New Power System

作　　者：张浩楠 崔丽敏 ZHANG Haonan;CUI Limin(Department of Economic Management,North China Electric Power University,Baoding 071003,Hebei Province,China)

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学经济管理系,河北省保定市071003

出　　处：《电力建设》2025年第3期16-33,共18页Electric Power Construction

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(72303064);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(2023MS152)。

摘　　要：近年来国内外由极端气候事件引发的多起重大的电力安全事件,给经济社会发展和全球能源转型带来巨大影响。从我国新型电力系统的发展战略和气候风险极端状况频发的现实问题出发,通过分析新型电力系统与气候的关联关系,在“韧性”“柔性”“可靠性”“稳定性”等描述电力系统安全水平的概念基础上,阐述了“适应性”的广泛内涵,从而建立了新型电力系统的气候适应性分析框架,探讨新型电力系统的气候适应性建模分析方法的要点,深入剖析了提升新型电力系统气候适应性的关键问题及提升策略,并展望气候风险适应性视角下新型电力系统高质量发展的研究思路,以期丰富气候适应型社会体系下新型电力系统的理论研究。In recent years,the world has suffered many major power safety incidents caused by extreme weather events that have severely impacted economic and social development and global energy transition.Considering the development strategy of China's new power system and the realistic problem of frequent extreme weather events and climate risks,we analyzed the correlation between the new power system and climate,and expound the broad connotation of"adaptability"based on the concepts of"resilience","flexibility","reliability",and"stability"to describe the level of power system safety.We thus established a framework for analyzing the climate adaptability of the new power system and explored the key issues and strategies for enhancing the climate adaptability of the new power system.Furthermore,we delved into the research direction of high-quality development of the new power system from the perspective of climate risk adaptability to enrich the theoretical study of the new power system within the framework of a climate-resilient society.

关 键 词：新型电力系统 极端天气 气候风险适应性 电力安全保供 

分 类 号：TM715[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]