中国县域新型农村集体经济发展的时空演变及驱动机制  

The development of new rural collective economy at county level in China: Spatio-temporal evolution and driving mechanisms

作　　者：孙淑惠 刘传明[2] 王菲 陈晓楠[1] SUN Shuhui;LIU Chuanming;WANG Fei;CHEN Xiaonan(College of Economics and Management,Northwest A&F University,Yangling 712100,Shaanxi,China;College of Economics,Shandong University of Finance and Economics,Jinan 250014,China)

机构地区：[1]西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,杨凌712100 [2]山东财经大学经济学院,济南250014

出　　处：《地理研究》2025年第3期691-710,共20页Geographical Research

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(22CJL004)。

摘　　要：发展壮大新型农村集体经济是发挥社会主义公有制制度优势、实现乡村全面振兴与农民农村共同富裕的必由之路。为此,本文采用2014—2022年中国县域面板数据,通过构建指标评价体系对新型农村集体经济发展水平进行测度,并借助地理信息系统可视化、标准差椭圆、空间相关性、地理探测器等方法准确识别其时空演变特征及驱动机制。研究发现:(1)从时序演变特征来看,中国新型农村集体经济发展持续向好,但具体发展水平未超过0.100,仍存在较大建设空间,整体发展数量、规模、效益及环境水平同样呈上升趋势,需重点关注前3个维度的优化;分阶段而言,2014—2019年为“打基础”阶段,呈“低水平、高增长”特征,2020—2022年为“上台阶”的转型探索阶段,呈“稳中求进”特征。(2)从空间演变特征来看,新型农村集体经济发展空间分异在东西方向上更为突出,具体表现为“东部>中部>东北>西部”的依次递减格局,其中,东部地区多涵盖高水平集聚区域,空间上表现出明显拓展趋势,正向带动作用较强,其余地区的空间关联性则较为微弱。(3)从驱动机制来看,经济社会、资源环境等多维度因子均对新型农村集体经济发展空间分异具有较强解释力度,且因子间存在交互增强关系,其中,基层组织治理为主导因子,基础设施发展与基层组织治理的交互组合为主导交互因子。据此,本文可为推动新型农村集体经济发展提供一定理论与经验支撑。Developing and strengthening the new rural collective economy is essential for maximizing the advantages of the socialist public ownership system,achieving comprehensive rural revitalization,and ensuring common prosperity for farmers and rural areas.This paper uses county panel data from China for the period 2014-2022.It builds an index evaluation system to measure the development of new rural collective economy and employs GIS visualization,standard deviation ellipse,spatial correlation,and geographical detector to identify its spatio-temporal evolution and driving mechanisms.The conclusions are as follows:(1)In terms of temporal evolution characteristics,overall,the development of new rural collective economy is on the rise.However,the specific development level has not yet exceeded 0.100,indicating that there is still significant room for growth.The levels of quantity,scale,benefits,and environment are also on the rise.But it is still important to focus on optimizing the levels of quantity,scale and benefits.Additionally,the period from 2014 to 2019 was the"foundation-building"phase of development of new rural collective economy.It was characterized by"low level,and high growth".The period from 2020 to 2022 was the"step-up"phase of transformation exploration.It was characterized by"steady progress".(2)In terms of spatial evolution characteristics,spatial differentiation in the development of new rural collective economy is more pronounced in the east-west direction.It shows a descending pattern as follows:east>middle>northeast>west.The eastern region often covers high-level agglomeration areas for the development of new rural collective economy.These areas show a clear trend of expansion and have a strong positive driving effect.In contrast,the spatial connectivity in other regions is relatively weak.(3)In terms of driving mechanisms,factors from multiple dimensions such as economy,society,resource and environment strongly explain the spatial differentiation in the development of new rural collective economy.T

关 键 词：县域 新型农村集体经济 时空演变 驱动机制 

分 类 号：F321.32[经济管理—产业经济]