粤港澳大湾区“三生空间”转型对旅游业碳排放环境负荷的影响研究  

Study on the Impact of the Transformation of“Production-Living-Ecological Spaces”on the Environmental Load of Tourism Carbon Emissions in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area

作　　者：毕斗斗[1,2] 张宇嘉 贾振立 BI Doudou;ZHANG Yujia;JIA Zhenli(Department of Tourism Management,South China University of Technology,Guangzhou Guangdong 510006,China;Southern Institute of Culture Tourism Industry,Guangzhou Guangdong 510006,China;Business School,Yuxi Normal University,Yuxi Yunnan 653100,China)

机构地区：[1]华南理工大学旅游管理系,广东广州510006 [2]广州文化和旅游融合发展研究基地,广东广州510006 [3]玉溪师范学院商学院,云南玉溪653100

出　　处：《生态经济》2025年第4期148-158,共11页Ecological Economy

基　　金：广东省自然科学基金面上项目“环境规制、技术创新对旅游经济绿色全要素生产率的影响研究——基于我国三大城市群的对比”(2022A1515010724);云南省哲学社会科学规划社会智库项目“云南省国家公园建设与生态旅游发展融合机制与路径研究”(SHZK2023213);国家自然科学基金项目“政策创新的时空扩散、效应评估及其路径优化研究——以中国文化和旅游产业融合政策为例”(42271238)。

摘　　要：基于2000—2020年土地利用数据与2000—2019年旅游业数据,运用土地利用转移矩阵及土地城镇化水平,分析粤港澳大湾区“三生空间”转型及旅游业碳排放环境负荷的时空演化特征,探究粤港澳大湾区“三生空间”转型对旅游业碳排放环境负荷影响。研究结果表明:(1)“三生空间”转型显著,生产、生活空间扩张伴随生态空间萎缩。(2)旅游业碳排放环境负荷长期高位,距碳中和目标差距明显,但已显现下降趋势。(3)“三生空间”转型对旅游业碳排放环境负荷呈增负与减负双模式,农业生产空间向水域及林地生态空间转化减负效果最突出。土地城镇化水平与旅游业碳排放环境负荷的环境库兹涅茨曲线(environmental Kuznets curve,EKC)整体呈“U”型曲线,但城市间存在“U”型、倒“U”型及“L”型分异特征;土地城镇化与旅游业碳排放负荷持续强脱钩且呈现显著空间关联性。Based on land use data from 2000 to 2020 and tourism industry data from 2000 to 2019,this study employs the land use transition matrix and urbanization level to analyze the structural transformation of“production-living-ecological spaces”and the spatiotemporal evolution of tourism carbon emission environmental load in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area(GBA).It further investigates the impact of spatial transformations on carbon emission dynamics.Key findings include:(1)The transformation of the“production-living-ecological spaces”is significant,with the expansion of production space and living space and the contraction of ecological space.(2)Persistently high tourism carbon emission environmental load with notable gaps from carbon neutrality targets,though a downward trend has emerged.(3)The transformation of the“production-living-ecological spaces”affects the environmental load of tourism carbon emissions in two ways:increasing and decreasing.The most notable reduction effect occurs when agricultural production space transitions to waters ecological space and forest ecological space.The overall EKC regression relationship between land urbanization level and tourism carbon emission environmental load shows a U-shaped curve,with city-specific variations(U-shaped,inverted U-shaped,and L-shaped patterns).The level of land urbanization has always been strongly decoupled from the carbon emission environmental load of the tourism industry,and shows a strong spatial correlation.

关 键 词：粤港澳大湾区 “三生空间”转型 旅游业碳排放环境负荷 

分 类 号：F590.3[经济管理—旅游管理] F062.2[经济管理—产业经济]