新质生产力赋能我国产业链韧性提升研究  

Research on New Quality Productive Forces Empowering the Resilience Enhancement of China's Industrial Chain

作　　者：郭欣怡 叶琪[1] GUO Xinyi;YE Qi

机构地区：[1]福建师范大学经济学院

出　　处：《当代经济》2025年第4期3-13,共11页Contemporary Economics

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目,东南特色橡塑产业提质增效循环经济集成技术及示范,编号:2023YFC3906300。

摘　　要：构建新质生产力驱动产业链韧性的理论模型,基于2012—2022年的省级样本数据进行研究,实证结果表明,发展新质生产力能够显著促进产业链韧性提升。进一步的机制分析显示,在新质生产力驱动产业链韧性提升的过程中,市场分割产生了负向调节效应,产业集聚产生了正向调节效应。从门槛效应结果来看,新质生产力驱动产业链韧性提升的过程中存在着产业结构的门槛特征,呈现出递减的变化趋势。异质性检验表明,发展新质生产力可以有效地提升各地区的产业链韧性水平,其中东部地区的影响效果尤为突出;当区域知识产权保护强度较高时,新质生产力对产业链韧性的驱动效果更为明显。上述结果为产业链韧性的提升提供了路径选择。This study constructed a theoretical model to explore the role of new quality productive forces empowering the resilience enhancement of industrial chain,using provincial-level data from 2012 to 2022.The empirical results demonstrate that the development of new quality productive forces significantly enhances industrial chain resilience.Mechanism analysis reveals that market segmentation exerts a negative moderating effect,while industrial agglomeration has a positive moderating effect on the relationship between new quality productive forces and industrial chain resilience enhancement.Threshold effect analysis indicates that industrial structure plays a threshold role in the process,with the marginal effect of new quality productive forces on industrial chain resilience showing a decreasing trend as industrial structure improves.Heterogeneity analysis further highlights that the development of new quality productive forces effectively enhances industrial chain resilience across regions,with the eastern region exhibiting particularly strong effects.Moreover,stronger regional intellectual property protection amplifies the positive impact of new quality productive forces on industrial chain resilience.These findings provide valuable insights into pathways for enhancing industrial chain resilience.

关 键 词：新质生产力 产业链韧性 市场分割 产业集聚 产业结构高级化 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]