MOA视角下公众极端气候灾害信息规避行为生成机制研究  

Research on generation mechanism of public information avoidance behavior for extreme climate disasters from perspective of MOA

作　　者：刘玮[1] 刘淑琴 LIU Wei;LIU Shuqin(Faculty of Public Administration and Law,Hunan Agricultural University,Changsha Hunan 410128,China)

机构地区：[1]湖南农业大学公共管理与法学学院,湖南长沙410128

出　　处：《中国安全生产科学技术》2025年第3期58-69,共12页Journal of Safety Science and Technology

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(21BSH001);2020年度湖南省哲学社会科学基金基地项目(20JD037)。

摘　　要：为厘清公众极端气候灾害信息规避行为的生成机制,采用MOA框架与认知-情感加工系统理论(CAPS)构建公众极端气候灾害信息规避行为的生成机制模型,引入PLS-SEM和fsQCA方法对问卷样本予以检验。研究结果表明:PLS-SEM方法得出公众极端气候灾害信息规避行为受动机、机会与能力3类因素影响。其中,动机层因素中感知价值与应急安全意识负向引导心理抗拒;机会层因素中心理距离正向引导倦怠情绪;能力层因素中自我效能负向引导焦虑情绪,最终促成信息规避行为。fsQCA分析发现,公众极端灾害信息规避行为生成过程中存在“机会-能力优先驱动”型、“动机-机会-能力并驾齐驱”型及“动机-机会-能力共同约束”型3条组态路径。研究结果可为提升极端气候灾害信息传播效果和公众极端气候灾害防范与应对能力提供参考。In order to clarify the generation mechanism of the public information avoidance behavior for extreme climate disasters,the motivation-opportunity-ability(MOA)framework and cognitive-emotional processing system theory(CAPS)were used to construct a model on the generation mechanism of public information avoidance behavior for extreme climate disasters,and the PLS-SEM and fsQCA methods were introduced to test the questionnaire samples.The results show that through the PLS-SEM method,it is found that the public information avoidance behavior for extreme climate disasters is affected by three types of factors:motivation,opportunity and ability.Among them,the perceived value and the emergency safety awareness of the motivation layer negatively guide the psychological resistance,the psychological distance of the opportunity layer positively guides the burnout emotion,and the self-efficacy of the ability layer negatively guides the anxiety,eventually contributing to the information avoidance behavior.Through the fsQCA analysis,it is found that there are three configuration paths in the generation prcess of public information avoidance behavior for extreme disasters,namely“opportunity-ability priority driven”,“motivation-opportunity-ability parallel driven”and“motivation-opportunity-ability joint constraint”.The research results can provide reference for improving the information dissemination effect of extreme climate disasters and the public ability to prevent and respond to extreme climate disasters.

关 键 词：极端气候灾害 信息规避行为 MOA框架 CAPS 

分 类 号：X915.5[环境科学与工程—安全科学] X43