教育婚姻匹配对离婚风险的影响  

The Influence of Educational Assortative Mating on Divorce Risks

作　　者：王杰[1] WANG Jie(School of Social Sciences,Soochow University,Suzhou 215123,China)

机构地区：[1]苏州大学社会学院,江苏苏州215123

出　　处：《人口与发展》2025年第2期140-150,共11页Population and Development

基　　金：国家社会科学基金青年项目“代际流动对生育行为的影响机制及对策研究”(24CSH066);中国博士后科学基金第73批面上项目“教育婚姻匹配对生育意愿和行为的影响研究”(2023M732542)。

摘　　要：受教育程度对离婚风险影响的性别差异及离婚通常由夫妻双方共同决定的事实,致使从教育婚姻匹配视角探究受教育程度对离婚风险的影响显得尤为重要。研究利用2018年中国家庭追踪调查数据,采用Cox比例风险模型、对角参照模型和最新提出的流动对比模型分析了不同教育婚配模式对离婚风险的影响。研究发现:随教育层级同质婚的提升,离婚风险呈倒“U”型变化,小学及以下和大专及以上教育同质婚的离婚风险较低,而初中和高中教育同质婚的离婚风险较高。在男高女低型教育婚配模式中,仅妻子为小学及以下学历的男高女低型教育婚配模式会显著增加离婚风险。在女高男低型教育婚配模式中,仅妻子为高等学历的长距离女高男低型教育婚配模式会显著地增加离婚风险。The gender differences in the impact of educational attainment on the risk of divorce and the fact that divorce is usually decided by both spouses make it particularly important to explore the impact of educational attainment on the risk of divorce from the perspective of educational assortative mating.Using data from China Family Panel Studies(CFPS 2018),this paper analyses the impact of educational assortative mating on divorce risks by using Cox proportional hazard models,diagonal reference models and the latest proposed mobility contrast models.The results suggest that the divorce risk shows a pattern of inverted U-shape as the level of educational homogamy increased.The divorce risks of tertiary and primary educational homogamy were low,and these of junior and senior educational homogamy were high.Hypergamous marriages in which the wife′s education is primary school or below significantly increase the risk of divorce.For hypogamy,a long-range kind in which the wife has a higher education will only significantly increase the risk of divorce.

关 键 词：同质婚 异质婚 离婚风险 流动对比模型 

分 类 号：C913.13[经济管理]