工程项目生命周期成本分析定量模型的构建与风险评估  

Construction and Risk Assessment of Quantitative Model of Project Life Cycle Cost Analysis

作　　者：刘伟 Liu Wei(CCCC SHEC Construction Engineering Company Limited,Wuhan 430000,China)

机构地区：[1]中交二航局建筑工程有限公司,武汉430000

出　　处：《黑龙江科学》2025年第6期156-158,161,共4页Heilongjiang Science

摘　　要：使用层次分析(AHP)构建用于评估工程项目生命周期成本和风险的定量分析模型。模型包括成本因素、风险因素、时间因素和环境因素,进行专家评分和配对比较,计算各要素的权重,应用于实际项目的评估。结果显示,初期投资和运营成本是主要因素,材料价格波动和工程延误是主要风险。此结果有助于对项目成本和风险管理进行科学决策,确定关键因素并优化管理战略。The study constructs a quantitative analysis model for evaluating project life cycle cost and risk through AHP.The model includes cost,risk,time and environment factor.The study conducts expert score and pair comparison,calculates the weight of each factor,and applies to the actual project evaluation.The results show that initial investment and operating costs are the main factors,while material price fluctuations and project delays are the main risks.The results help to make scientific decisions on project cost and risk management,identify key factors and optimize management strategies.

关 键 词：工程项目 生命周期成本分析 风险评估 AHP 

分 类 号：TU723.3[建筑科学—建筑技术科学]