能源低碳转型下计及边际贡献的省级电源结构优化研究  

PROVINCIAL POWER STRUCTURE OPTIMIZATION CONSIDERING MARGINAL CONTRIBUTION UNDER ENERGY LOW-CARBON TRANSITION

作　　者：孙晶琪[1] 秦玉杰 黄甫思卿 刘思彤 Sun Jingqi;Qin Yujie;Huangfu Siqing;Liu Sitong(School of Economic and Management,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China)

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京102206

出　　处：《太阳能学报》2025年第3期263-271,共9页Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica

摘　　要：为了实现“双碳”目标、促进区域能源资源结构转型,分析能源低碳转型对电源结构优化的影响机理,建立电源边际贡献度测算模型。在此基础上,构建能源低碳转型下计及边际贡献的省级电源结构优化模型,通过遗传算法对模型进行求解,最后通过实证研究验证模型的有效性。结果表明:高比例新能源接入是在保证电力供给稳定的前提下实现电源结构低碳化的关键;考虑边际贡献度的优化模型可有效指导电源规划的合理性,寻求经济与环境双重利好下的电源方案。The core objective of the third global energy transition is to promote the formation of a low-carbon energy system based on renewable energy,and the low-carbon transformation of the electric power system is a key part of this process.To achieve the goal of“double carbon”and promote the transformation of regional energy resources structure,the mechanism of the impact of the low-carbon energy transition on the optimization of power supply structure is analyzed,and a model for measuring the marginal contribution of power supply is established.On this basis,a provincial power structure optimization model is constructed under the low-carbon energy transition taking into account the marginal contribution,and the model is solved by a genetic algorithm,and finally the validity of the model is verified by empirical research.The results show that a high proportion of new energy access is the key to realizing the decarbonization of power structure under the premise of ensuring the stability of power supply;the optimization model taking into account the marginal contribution can effectively guide the reasonableness of power supply planning,and seek for power supply solutions under the double benefit of economy and environment.

关 键 词：低碳化 电力系统 能源转型 电源规划 遗传算法 

分 类 号：TM715[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]