基于随机演化博弈的风-光-氢微能源网竞价行为研究  

Research on Bidding Behavior of Wind-Photovoltaic-Hydrogen Micro-energy Grid Based on Stochastic Evolutionary Game

作　　者：翟学文 吴丽珍[1] 王定美 ZHAI Xuewen;WU Lizhen;WANG Dingmei(College of Electrical and Information Engineering,Lanzhou University of Technology,Lanzhou 730050;Electric Power Research Institute of State Grid Gansu Electric Power Company,Lanzhou 730070)

机构地区：[1]兰州理工大学电气工程与信息工程学院,兰州730050 [2]国网甘肃省电力公司电力科学研究院,兰州730070

出　　处：《计算机与数字工程》2025年第2期564-571,共8页Computer & Digital Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(编号:62063016);甘肃省科技计划(编号:20JR10RA177)资助。

摘　　要：竞价行为的选择影响着市场结构的稳定与调整,而不确定环境下的随机干扰因素严重影响了风-光-氢微能源网发电与购电的竞价行为。为此,论文在复制动态方程中引入高斯白噪声随机干扰项,构建信息非对称下风-光-氢三个异质群体的随机演化博弈模型,并运用Ito随机微分方程理论对模型进行求解,针对报价策略、激励措施和企业收益三个方面,分别讨论了风-光-氢三群体随机演化博弈系统趋于渐进稳定的条件。最后,以风-光-氢三群体的竞价策略博弈为算例,进行动态演化仿真模拟。结果表明,随机演化博弈模型能够更准确地反映随机因素干扰下各群体竞价策略的演化过程,更真实地反映现实环境中发电企业和购电企业的竞价行为的动态变化过程。The selection of bidding behavior affects the stability and adjustment of market structure,while the random interfer⁃ence factors in uncertain environment seriously affect the bidding behavior of power generation and consumption of Wind-Photovolta⁃ic-Hydrogen Micro-energy grid.So,in this paper,the random interference term of Gaussian white noise is introduced into the repli⁃cation dynamic equation,which constructs the stochastic evolutionary game model of wind photovoltaic hydrogen groups under asym⁃metric information.And the model is solved by using Itôstochastic differential equation theory.Photovoltaic Hydrogen stochastic evolutionary game system are discussed from three aspects of the quotation strategy,incentive measures and enterprise income.Fi⁃nally,taking the wind photovoltaic hydrogen groups bidding strategy game as an example,dynamic evolution simulation is carried out.The results show that the stochastic evolutionary game model can more accurately reflect the evolution process of bidding strate⁃gy of various groups under the interference of random factors,which can more really reflects the dynamic change process of bidding behavior of power generation enterprises and power purchase enterprises in the real environment.

关 键 词：微能源网 电制氢 竞价策略 高斯白噪声 随机演化博弈 

分 类 号：TM561[电气工程—电器]