中国式现代化下流通业高质量发展对农村居民消费影响研究  

Research on the Impact of High Quality Development of Circulation Industry on Rural Residents’Consumption under Chinese Path to Modernization

作　　者：郭馨梅[1] 王妍 GUO Xinmei;WANG Yan

机构地区：[1]北京工商大学经济学院

出　　处：《价格理论与实践》2024年第12期122-128,共7页Price:Theory & Practice

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目“多重复杂背景下中国经济‘双循环’接驳及其协同性、有效性的统计研究”(项目编号:21&ZD151);2024年研究生科研能力提升计划项目

摘　　要：流通业是国民经济的基础性和先导性产业,以其高质量发展促进农村居民消费对于推进中国式现代化具有重要意义。本文利用熵值法测算2013-2022年我国30个省份的流通业发展指数,并构建固定效应、中介效应和空间杜宾模型,检验流通业发展影响农村居民消费的作用机制。研究发现,流通业发展显著促进我国农村居民消费,并且在不同区域和不同消费类别之间存在显著的异质性;收入是流通业发展影响农村居民消费的重要传导因素;流通业发展对农村居民消费的促进作用存在空间溢出效应。因此,应推进农村地区流通业向纵深发展,充分发挥其提升农村居民消费水平的作用;借助流通业发展带动农村居民收入增长,进而促进其消费;因地制宜实施差异化的流通业发展战略,拉动本地及周边地区农村居民消费的增长。The circulation industry is the basic and leading industry of the national economy.Promoting rural residents’consumption with its high-quality development is of great significance for promoting Chinese-style modernization.This paper uses the entropy method to calculate the circulation industry development index of 30 provinces in China from 2013 to 2022,and constructs a fixed effect,intermediary effect and spatial Dubin model to test the mechanism of circulation industry development affecting rural residents’consumption.It is found that the development of circulation industry significantly promotes the consumption of rural residents in China,and there is significant heterogeneity among different regions and different consumption categories.Income is an important transmission factor for the development of circulation industry to affect the consumption of rural residents.The development of circulation industry has a spatial spillover effect on the promotion of rural residents’consumption.Therefore,we should promote the circulation industry in rural areas to develop in depth,and give full play to its role in improving the consumption level of rural residents;with the development of circulation industry to drive the growth of rural residents’income,and then promote their consumption;implement a differentiated circulation industry development strategy according to local conditions to stimulate the growth of rural residents’consumption in local and surrounding areas.

关 键 词：中国式现代化 流通业发展 农村居民消费 农村居民收入 空间杜宾模型 

分 类 号：F323.8[经济管理—产业经济] F724