大型体育赛事应急医学救援资源配置决策研究  

Research on Allocation of Emergency Medical Rescue Resources for Large-scale Sports Events

作　　者：刘亮 刘晓东 林绵端 郝昱文 LIU Liang;LIU Xiaodong;LIN Mianduan;HAO Yuwen(School of Economics and Management,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China;The First Medical Center of the General Hospital of the People’s Liberation Army,Beijing 100853,China;Centrin-FC Data Devieces Technology Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100097,China;School of Automation,Beijing Institute of Technology,Beijing 100081,China;Disaster Medicine Research Center,Medical Innovation Research Department,The General Hospital of the People’s Liberation Army,Beijing 100853,China)

机构地区：[1]中国科学院大学经济与管理学院,北京100049 [2]中国人民解放军总医院第一医学中心,北京100853 [3]数普金通数据技术有限公司,北京100097 [4]北京理工大学自动化学院,北京100081 [5]中国人民解放军总医院医学创新研究部灾害医学研究中心,北京100853

出　　处：《运筹与管理》2024年第12期32-37,共6页Operations Research and Management Science

基　　金：国家重点研发计划“科技冬奥”重点专项2019年定向项目(2019YFF0302302)。

摘　　要：针对大型体育赛事应急医学救援资源配置缺乏定量分析手段的问题,本文提出一种基于资源需求模型和计算机仿真模拟进行应急医学救援资源配置的决策方法。首先,该方法结合概率分析,基于比赛场馆发生突发事件的不同组合方式生成对应的仿真算例;其次,使用资源需求模型进行仿真模拟,得到满足资源需求效果的各种资源配置方案;最后,对资源需求模型生成的资源配置方案进行分析、比较、判断,实现大型体育赛事应急医学救援资源配置决策。结合北京2022年冬奥会实际背景,通过该方法分析研究救援资源配置决策问题,得到针对各种规模突发事件的资源配置方案,同时总结提出有关大型体育赛事应急医学救援资源配置工作的建设性意见。Large scale sports events bring not only social and economic benefits,but also the potential danger of large-scale emergencies to the host country.Only by paying attention to the allocation of emergency medical rescue resources for large-scale sports events,can we effectively reduce the loss of emergencies.The allocation of emergency medical rescue resources for large-scale sports events is affected by many factors.For example,the allocation of emergency medical rescue resources for large-scale sports events should consider not only its impact on citizens’daily disease relief,but also meeting the emergency medical rescue needs for large-scale sports events.At present,the allocation methods of emergency medical resources for large-scale sports events are usually based on experience and qualitative analysis methods,lacking quantitative analysis means.These methods can neither accurately evaluate the actual effect of the resource allocation scheme,nor ensure that the allocation scheme is reasonable and efficient.To solve the above problems,a decision-making method based on resource demand model and computer simulation for emergency medical rescue resource allocation is proposed.First of all,combined with the probability analysis method and the experience of emergencies in large sports events,a detailed simulation example is developed for different combinations of emergencies in venues.Secondly,the resource demand model is established based on the integer programming and epsilon constraint method.The model is applied to two stages of emergency medical rescue:search-location and on-site treatment.The model takes into account the specific needs of the affected venues for rescue resources such as ambulances and helicopters when the casualties are determined,that is,when the emergency level is determined.Then,the established resource demand model is called to simulate the simulation case,and the simulation resource allocation scheme that meets the resource demand is obtained.Finally,based on the set theory,the simulati

关 键 词：大型体育赛事 突发事件 资源配置 整数规划 仿真模拟 

分 类 号：C931.1[经济管理—管理学]