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作 者:张泽蔚 易小燕[1] 邹秦琦 徐珂怡 Zhang Zewei;Yi Xiaoyan;Zou Qinqi;Xu Keyi(State Key Laboratory of Efficient Utilization of Arid and Semi-arid Arable Land in Northern China/Institute of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning,Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Beijing 100081,China;College of Resources and Environmental Sciences,China Agricultural University,Beijing 10019,China)
机构地区:[1]北方干旱半干旱耕地高效利用全国重点实验室/中国农业科学院农业资源与农业区划研究所,北京100081 [2]中国农业大学资源与环境学院,北京100193
出 处:《科技管理研究》2025年第2期225-234,共10页Science and Technology Management Research
基 金:国际农业发展基金贷款优势特色产业发展示范项目“带动小农户发展的制度安排、产业选择和价值链建设”(GB-Z-21005)。
摘 要:绿色防控技术是实现农业绿色发展的重要手段之一,但是农户作为绿色防控技术直接使用者,其技术采纳的主动性和积极性较低。合作社通过为农户提供多种服务,发挥辐射带动作用,有助于提高农户对绿色防控技术的采纳率。根据国际农业发展基金四川项目区实地调研的498户数据,利用Logit模型和机器学习中的随机森林模型,从合作社为农户提供的服务数量和类型角度,对比分析其对合作社成员和非成员采纳绿色防控技术的影响。结果表明:(1)合作社社会化服务数量对成员采纳绿色防控技术的概率高于非成员;(2)农资服务、技术服务和销售服务对成员与非成员采纳绿色防控技术的影响呈现出互补性;(3)销售服务和技术培训分别对成员和非成员采纳绿色防控技术的影响程度最高。因此未来应充分发挥合作社辐射带动作用,有针对性地为成员和非成员提供各项服务,推动绿色防控技术采纳率提升,促进农业绿色生产。Green prevention and control technology is one of the important means to realize the green development of agriculture,but farmers,as direct users of technology,have low initiative and enthusiasm in adopting this kind of technology,however,the cooperatives play a radiating role and improve the adoption rate of farmers by providing them with a variety of services.Based on the data of 498 farmers in the Sichuan project area of International Fund for Agricultural Development(IFAD)project,Logit model and random forest model in machine learning were used to analyze the impact of cooperatives on the adoption of green prevention and control technology by members and non-members of cooperatives from the perspective of the number and type of services.The results show that:(1)The numbers of cooperative services provided by cooperatives have significant positive impacts on the adoption of green control technology by farmers,and the probability of adoption of green control technology by members is higher than that of non-members;(2)The impact of agricultural services,technical services,and sales services on the adoption of technology by members and non-members is complementary;(3)Sales service and technical training have the highest influence on the adoption of green control technology by members and non-members respectively.Therefore,cooperatives should give full play to their radiation-driven role,provide targeted services to members and non-members,promote the adoption rate of green control technology,and promote green agricultural production.
关 键 词:合作社 绿色防控技术 技术采纳行为 合作社社会化服务数量 合作社社会化服务类型
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