不进则退:安全生产目标考核的空间溢出效应研究  

Without Progress,There Is Only Regression:A Study of the Spatial Spillover Effects of Work Safety Target Assessments

作　　者：王凡凡 WANG Fanfan(School of International Tourism and Public Administration,Hainan University;Public Governance Research Center of Hainan Province,Hainan University)

机构地区：[1]海南大学国际旅游与公共管理学院 [2]海南大学海南省公共治理研究中心(海南省哲学社会科学重点研究基地)

出　　处：《公共管理评论》2024年第4期202-229,共28页China Public Administration Review

基　　金：教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目“新时代城乡社区治理体系建设研究”(项目批准号:20JZD029);海南大学科研启动基金项目“安全生产目标考核的运行逻辑、制度效果与优化路径研究”(项目批准号:KYQD(SK2418))资助。

摘　　要：中国式现代化要求完善国家应急管理体系,提高公共安全治理水平。目标考核在安全生产转型中具有重要地位,但其实施所引发的地区之间的空间互动模式亟待深入分析和检验。基于2001—2014年中国内地31个省份的平衡面板数据,本文将安全生产“一票否决”视为一项准实验,结合双重差分模型和空间杜宾模型,检验安全生产目标考核的空间溢出效应。研究发现,目标考核的实施促使空间关联地区围绕着安全生产展开竞争,对空间关联地区整体产生正向溢出效应。进一步分析发现,安全生产目标考核对同样实施该制度的地区产生正向溢出效应,但对未实施该制度的地区产生负向溢出效应。异质性分析表明,目标考核对煤矿事故和工矿商贸事故的空间溢出效应更多受到地理因素的影响,而受到经济因素的影响非常有限。目标考核对安全生产治理效果的溢出效应未体现在东中部地区,在中西部地区和东西部地区主要表现为正向溢出效应。上述结论不仅为安全生产目标考核制度的未来实践提供了有益启发,也有效拓展了关于地方政府间策略互动模式的解释。Chinese-style modernization requires enhancement of the national emergency management system and improvements in public safety governance.Guided by a comprehensive national security strategy,actively advancing modernization of the emergency management system and governance capabilities are essential for achieving such modernization.Work safety constitutes the foundation of emergency management and is a crucial area for applying the principle of“coordinated development and safety.”The work safety target assessment system introduced in 2004 is regarded as a key measure to control various workplace safety accidents and to put an end to the passive approach to safety regulation.However,the spatial interaction patterns it has engendered among regions require in-depth analysis and validation.Although previous studies have explored the institutional effects and pathways of work safety target assessments,they often overlook the interactive behavior among spatially correlated regions resulting from implementation of these policies.Furthermore,there is an ongoing potential for methodological improvements in the estimation approaches.This article treats the“one-vote veto”system for work safety,implemented by provinces in 2005,as a quasi-experiment,constructing a nested Difference in Difference model and a spatial Durbin model to investigate the spatial spillover effects and the regional heterogeneity of target assessments on safety governance in related areas.Additionally,it aims to decompose these spillover effects to uncover the differing impacts of target assessments on safety governance in spatially correlated regions,analyzing both within-group and between-group variations and exploring distinct potential spatial interaction patterns.The study reveals several key findings.First,target assessments significantly enhance safety governance outcomes;provinces implementing the“one-vote veto”system saw a notable reduction in accident fatalities and death rates compared to those that did not implement such a system

关 键 词：目标考核 安全生产治理效果 竞争 空间溢出效应 

分 类 号：G63[文化科学—教育学]