基于“工具-目标-效力”的中国耕地抛荒治理政策量化研究  

A quantitative study on the policies for cultivated land abandonment governance in China based on the framework of “tool-target-effectiveness”

作　　者：陈萌萌 韩青[2] CHEN Mengmeng;HAN Qing(College of Economics and Management,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100083,China;Beijing Food Safety Policy and Strategy Research Base,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100083,China)

机构地区：[1]中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京100083 [2]中国农业大学北京食品安全政策与战略研究基地,北京100083

出　　处：《资源科学》2025年第2期359-372,共14页Resources Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(72273140);中国农业大学2115人才工程资助项目。

摘　　要：【目的】开展耕地抛荒治理政策量化评价研究,为保障耕地抛荒治理政策的有效运行提供依据。【方法】运用内容分析法和政策建模一致性(PMC)指数模型方法,构建政策“工具-目标-效力”分析框架,量化评价中央、粮食主产区和非粮食主产区3类政策主体颁布的耕地抛荒治理政策。【结果】(1)耕地抛荒治理政策在时间上具有阶段性、空间上具有延续性,且政策工具使用日益多元化;(2)在政策工具选取上,3类政策主体总体以信息公开型和措施引导型为主,且各有侧重点;中央采用行政管制类政策工具频次较高,粮食主产区更注重运用考核和责任追究及间接引导型工具,非粮食主产区则侧重于考核和责任追究及建立信息台账类;(3)在政策目标上,3类政策主体均高度重视严控抛荒面积,而对改善耕地质量和优化农业生产要素配置政策目标的关注尚有待提高;(4)在政策效力上,相较于渐进发展期,中国耕地抛荒治理政策在综合治理期设计更为合理,按照政策效力大小排序依次为中央>非粮食主产区>粮食主产区,但在政策领域和政策重点维度上仍有改进空间。【结论】3类政策主体未来仍需综合运用多种政策工具,制定针对性和可操作性更强的耕地抛荒治理政策,构建抛荒治理政策多元化目标体系,分级、分层推进耕地抛荒治理,逐步提高耕地抛荒治理政策内容效力,发挥政策对治理耕地抛荒的增量效应。[Objective]In this study,a quantitative evaluation of cultivated land abandonment governance policies was carried out to provide a basis for guaranteeing the effective operation of cultivated land abandonment governance policy.[Methods]Using the content analysis method and policy modeling consistency(PMC)index,we constructed a policy tool-target-effectiveness analysis framework to quantify and evaluate the cultivated land abandonment governance policy of the central government,main grain-producing areas,and non-main grain-producing areas of China.[Results]The study found that:(1)Cultivated land abandonment governance policies were temporally phased,spatially continuous,and the use of policy tools was becoming increasingly diversified.(2)The policy tools of the three policy subjects were generally based on information disclosure and guidance on measures,each with its own focus.While the administrative control policies were more frequently used by the central government,the main grain-producing areas focused on the assessment and accountability and indirect guidance,and the non-main grain-producing areas preferred the assessment and accountability and the establishment of information ledgers.(3)In terms of policy targets,the three policy subjects attached great importance to strictly controlling the quantity of abandoned land,but still need to pay more attention to improving the quality of cultivated land and optimizing the allocation of agricultural production factors.(4)In terms of policy effectiveness,compared with the progressive development period,China’s cultivated land abandonment governance policy was more reasonably designed in the comprehensive management period,and the effectiveness of the policies shows:central government>non-grain-producing areas>grain-producing areas.But policy areas and policy focus still have space for improvements.[Conclusion]In the future,the three policy subjects should use a combination of policy tools,formulate more targeted and operable cultivated land abandonment governance

关 键 词：耕地抛荒 土地治理 政策工具 政策目标 政策建模一致性(PMC)指数 中国 

分 类 号：F32[经济管理—产业经济]