人工智能对服务业就业的影响机制  

Mechanism of the Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Employment in the Service Sector

作　　者：黄一成 HUANG Yicheng(School of Economics and Management,East China Jiaotong University,Nanchang 330000,China)

机构地区：[1]华东交通大学经济管理学院,南昌330000

出　　处：《科技和产业》2025年第6期93-99,共7页Science Technology and Industry

摘　　要：基于2013—2022年中国省级面板数据,聚焦于考察人工智能对服务业就业的影响机制研究。结果表明:从全国范围来看人工智能对服务业就业的影响大致呈现U形关系,并且在考虑内生性问题以及稳健性检验后依然成立;微观机制方面,人工智能通过影响服务业结构对服务业就业产生了正向的促进作用;拓展讨论表明人工智能的应用对服务业中、高技能劳动力就业有显著的正面促进作用;此外现代服务业相比传统服务业对劳动力就业的吸纳潜力还在持续上升。Based on 30 provincial-level panel data in China from 2013 to 2022,Focusing on the mechanisms research,AI affects employment in the service sector was examined.The results show that the impact of AI on service industry employment from a national perspective roughly shows a U-shaped relationship and still holds after considering indigeneity issues and robustness tests.In terms of micro-mechanisms,AI positively promotes service industry employment by affecting the structure of the service industry.The extended discussion suggests that the application of AI has a significant positive employment promotion effect on middle-skilled and high-skilled labor force employment in the service industry.In addition,the potential of modern service industry to absorb labor force employment continues to rise compared with traditional service industry.The extended discussion shows that the application of AI has a significant positive effect on the employment of middle-skilled and high-skilled labor in the service industry.In addition,the absorption potential of the modern service industry compared with the traditional service industry for the employment of the labor force continues to rise.

关 键 词：人工智能 就业总量 服务业 劳动力适应性 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]