排污权交易制度对绿色全要素生产率的影响  

Impact of Emissions Trading System on Green Total Factor Productivity

作　　者：李宁[1] LI Ning(School of Public Policy and Administration,Northwestern Polytechnical University,Xi’an 710072,China)

机构地区：[1]西北工业大学公共政策与管理学院,西安710072

出　　处：《科技和产业》2025年第6期358-366,共9页Science Technology and Industry

摘　　要：在资源和环境的双重约束下,提高绿色全要素生产率对实现高质量发展至关重要。我国排污权交易制度经过多年的试点推进,已进入深化发展阶段,研究排污权交易制度实施对绿色全要素生产率的影响具有重要的现实意义。以2007年实行的排污权交易制度试点作为一次准自然实验,基于中国2004—2020年30个省份(因数据缺失,未包含西藏和港澳台地区)面板数据,运用双重差分法探究排污权交易制度对绿色全要素生产率的影响与作用机制。研究结果证明,排污权交易制度显著提升了绿色全要素生产率。影响机制检验表明,排污权交易制度对绿色全要素生产率的提升主要是通过绿色技术创新效应和产业结构升级效应两个影响路径得以实现。研究结论为我国进一步深化排污权交易制度推动经济绿色发展的政策效果提供了启示。Under the double constraints of resources and environment,improving green total factor productivity is crucial to realizing high-quality development.The Emissions Trading System has entered a deepening stage of development after decades of piloting in China,and it is of great significance to research the impact of the implementation of the Emissions Trading System on green total factor productivity.Taking the Emissions Trading System implemented in 2007 as a natural experiment,based on the panel data of 30 provinces(due to the lack of data,the statistical data mentioned here do not include the Tibet Autonomous Region,the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region,the Macao Special Administrative Region and Taiwan Province)in China from 2004 to 2020,difference-in-difference method(DID)was employed to explore the impact and mechanism of the Emissions Trading System on GTFP.The results highlight that the Emissions Trading System significantly enhances regional GTFP.The impact mechanism test shows that the Emissions Trading System further enhances GTFP by promoting green innovation and industrial structure upgrading.Relevant government departments can use the research findings as policy insights to further maximize the role of the Emissions Trading System in promoting economy and green development.

关 键 词：排污权交易制度 绿色全要素生产率 双重差分法 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济]