新质生产力赋能农业农村现代化:理论与实证  

New-quality Productivity Enabling Agricultural and Rural Modernization:Theory and Empirical Study

作　　者：秦德智 陈婷婷[3] Qin Dezhi;Chen Tingting(Business School,Honghe University,Honghe Yunnan 651400,China;School of Business Administration and Tourism Management,Yunnan University,Kunming 650500,China;School of Economics and Management,Zhejiang Ocean University,Zhoushan Zhejiang 316022,China)

机构地区：[1]红河学院商学院,云南红河651400 [2]云南大学工商管理与旅游管理学院,昆明650500 [3]浙江海洋大学经济与管理学院,浙江舟山316022

出　　处：《统计与决策》2025年第6期11-16,共6页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：国家自然科学基金地区科学项目(72063036);云南省教育厅科学研究基金项目(2022Y090)。

摘　　要：文章在理论阐述新质生产力与农业农村现代化关系的基础上,以中国30个省份2013—2022年的面板数据为样本,运用动态SYS-GMM、中介效应和调节效应模型,实证检验新质生产力赋能农业农村现代化的效应和机制。结果表明:新质生产力可显著地、持续地赋能农业农村现代化,通过一系列稳健性检验后该结论仍然成立;要素配置效率、产业结构升级和公共服务均衡是新质生产力推动农业农村现代化的有效机制;新质生产力赋能农业农村现代化的效应受到农村产业融合的正向调节。因此,应积极推进新质生产力发展,逐步提升要素配置效率,推动产业结构升级和公共服务均衡发展,有效促进农村产业融合,从多个渠道助力新质生产力赋能农业农村现代化。On the basis of the theoretical elaboration of the relationship between new-quality productivity and agricultural and rural modernization,this paper takes the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2013 to 2022 as samples and empirically examines the effect and mechanism of new-quality productivity on agricultural and rural modernization by using dynamic SYS-GMM,mediating effect and moderating effect models.The results go as the following:The new-quality productivity can significantly and continuously enable the agricultural and rural modernization,and the conclusion is still valid after a series of robustness tests.Factor allocation efficiency,industrial structure upgrading and balanced public services are effective mechanisms for new-quality productivity to promote the agricultural and rural modernization.The effect of the new-quality productivity empowering the agricultural and rural modernization is positively regulated by the integration of rural industries.Therefore,it is essential to actively promote the development of new-quality productivity,gradually enhance the efficiency of factor allocation,industrial structure upgrading,and balanced public services,effectively foster the integration of rural industries,and facilitate the empowerment of new-quality productivity in the development of agriculture and rural modernization through multiple channels.

关 键 词：新质生产力 农业农村现代化 农村产业融合发展 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济] F124