中国省域人工智能渗透度时空分异及驱动因素  

Spatiotemporal Differentiation and Driving Factors of Provincial Artificial Intelligence Penetration in China

作　　者：封珊 刘曙光[1,2] 孔亚文[1] Feng Shan;Liu Shuguang;Kong Yawen(School of Economics,Ocean University of China;Institute of Marine Development of Ocean University of China,Qingdao Shandong 266100,China)

机构地区：[1]中国海洋大学经济学院 [2]教育部人文社科重点研究基地海洋发展研究院,山东青岛266100

出　　处：《统计与决策》2025年第6期41-46,共6页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(18VSJ067);中国工程科技发展战略山东研究院咨询研究项目(912088070)。

摘　　要：人工智能的使用和扩散是实现中国式现代化的重要引擎。文章基于2010—2019年国际机器人联盟的工业机器人数据,采用巴蒂克变量法测算中国省域人工智能渗透度,从时间和空间两个维度揭示其演变规律,并进一步利用地理探测器模型识别影响人工智能渗透度空间分异的驱动因子。结果表明:(1)在研究期内,中国人工智能渗透度稳步提升,且行业异质性明显,制造业始终处于领先地位,其中,交通运输设备制造业的人工智能渗透度最高。(2)中国人工智能渗透度空间格局整体呈现从东向西递减的趋势,高值区相对稳定且集中在东部沿海和长江中游地区,各省份在人工智能的使用上具有不同的行业偏好。(3)市场机制始终是影响人工智能渗透度空间分异最重要的因素,其次为外商投资、人力资本和劳动力规模,成果产出对人工智能渗透度空间分异的潜在影响趋于增强。The use and proliferation of artificial intelligence(AI)is an important engine for realizing Chinese-style modernization.Based on the industrial robot data of the International Federation of Robots from 2010 to 2019,this paper uses the Batik variable method to estimate the provincial AI penetration in China.On this basis,the evolution law is revealed from the two dimensions of time and space,and the geographic detector model is further used to identify the driving factors affecting the spatial differentiation of AI penetration.The findings go as follows:(1)During the study period,China’s AI penetration increases steadily,and the industry heterogeneity is obvious.Manufacturing industry always takes the lead,with the transportation equipment manufacturing industry enjoys the highest level of AI penetration.(2)The overall spatial pattern of China’s AI penetration shows a decreasing trend from east to west,and the high-value area is relatively stable and concentrated in the eastern coastal region and the middle reaches of the Yangtze River.Meanwhile,the provinces have different industry preferences in the use of AI.(3)Market mechanism is always the most important factor affecting the spatial differentiation of AI penetration,followed by foreign investment,human capital and size of labor force.The potential influence of achievement output on the spatial differentiation of AI penetration tends to be enhanced.

关 键 词：人工智能 渗透度 贡献率 趋势面分析 地理探测器 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]