新疆新质生产力与农业现代化发展的关系研究——基于VAR模型  

Research on the Influence of New Quality Productivity to Promote Agricultural Modernization Development in Xinjiang——Based on VAR Model

作　　者：吴雪婷 艾洪娟 WU Xue-ting;AI Hong-juan(Business School,Xinjiang Normal University,Urumqi,Xinjiang,830017,China;Research Center for High Quality Industrial Development in the Core Area of the Silk Road Economic Belt,Xinjiang Normal University,Urumqi,Xinjiang,830017,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆师范大学商学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830017 [2]新疆师范大学丝绸之路经济带核心区产业高质量发展研究中心,新疆乌鲁木齐830017

出　　处：《新疆师范大学学报(自然科学版)》2025年第3期77-85,共9页Journal of Xinjiang Normal University(Natural Sciences Edition)

摘　　要：农业作为新疆地区的支柱型产业,对新疆地区的经济发展具有重要的带动作用。文章立足于新疆新质生产力同农业现代化的发展现状,分析新疆新质生产力与农业现代化发展的相互关系。参考相关文献的指标评价体系,收集2011—2022年新疆农业现代化与新质生产力发展水平数据,采用熵值法测算二者的综合评价指数,由VAR模型检验分析并得出以下结论:新疆地区新质生产力发展水平对农业现代化发展具有长期稳定的促进效果,但效果会随时间推移逐渐减弱;新疆地区农业现代化发展水平对新质生产力发展具有平稳推动作用;新疆新质生产力同农业现代化之间的相互影响程度越来越强。As a pillar industry in Xinjiang,agriculture plays an important role in driving the economic development of Xinjiang.Based on the development status of Xinjiang′s new quality productivity and agricultural modernization,this paper analyzes the relationship between Xinjiang′s new quality productivity and agricultural modernization.Refer to relevant literature to find the corresponding index evaluation system,collect the data of agricultural modernization and new quality productivity development level in Xinjiang from 2011 to 2022,and calculate the comprehensive evaluation index of the two using the entropy weight method.The VAR model is tested and analyzed,and the conclusion is drawn:The development level of new quality productivity in Xinjiang has a long-term stable promoting effect on agricultural modernization development,but the effect will gradually weaken with the passage of time;The development level of agricultural modernization in Xinjiang has a steady promoting effect on the development of new quality productivity;The interaction between Xinjiang′s new quality productivity and agricultural modernization is getting stronger and stronger.

关 键 词：新质生产力 农业现代化 熵值法 VAR模型 

分 类 号：F327[经济管理—产业经济]