徐州市辖区养老机构可达性与老年人口匹配度研究  

A study on the accessibility of elderly care institutions in Xuzhou city and the degree of the matching of these institutions with elderly population

作　　者：徐一晗 杨奎奇 裴凤松 赵洁 Xu Yihan;Yang Kuiqi;Pei Fengsong;Zhao Jie(School of Geography,Geomatics&Planning,Jiangsu Normal University,Xuzhou 221116,Jiangsu,China)

机构地区：[1]江苏师范大学地理测绘与城乡规划学院,江苏徐州221116

出　　处：《江苏师范大学学报(自然科学版)》2025年第1期68-73,共6页Journal of Jiangsu Normal University:Natural Science Edition

基　　金：江苏省高等学校基础科学(自然科学)面上项目(22KJB170011);教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目(23YJAZH105)。

摘　　要：随着我国老龄化社会程度逐渐加深,合理布局养老服务设施以匹配老年人口分布成为城市公共服务建设的关键挑战.本文以徐州市辖区71所养老机构为例,采用改进的两步移动搜索法和双变量空间自相关法,从供需平衡、交通可达性和空间关联性3个维度分析养老机构的可达性及其与老年人口的匹配情况,并探讨不同经营性质养老机构的分布及其与老年人口匹配情况.研究结果表明,徐州市辖区养老机构的可达性呈现中心城区高、城郊地区低的格局;养老机构空间分布不均衡,主城区的养老机构数量较多,养老服务资源得到了更好的利用,而城郊地区养老机构数量则相对匮乏,无法满足老年人口增长的需求.对不同经营性质养老机构研究结果表明,3类养老机构分布都呈现出明显的“中心-外围”模式,民办养老机构可达性高值区面积最大,其次是公建民营养老机构,面积最小的是公办养老机构;辐射范围方面,公建民营养老机构最大,民办养老机构次之,公办养老机构最小.基于此,本文提出了对徐州市辖区养老机构布局的合理建议.With the gradual development of the aging society of China,rationally arranging elderly care service facilities to match the distribution of the elderly population has become a key challenge in the construction of urban public service facilities.Taking 71 elderly care institutions in the jurisdiction of Xuzhou city as examples,this article applied the two-step mobile search method and bivariate spatial autocorrelation method to analyze the accessibility of elderly care institutions and their matching with the elderly population from three dimensions,namely supply and demand balance,transportation accessibility,and spatial correlation,and explored the distribution of elderly care institutions with different business natures and their matching with the elderly population.The research results indicated that the accessibility of elderly care institutions in the jurisdiction of Xuzhou city presented a pattern of high accessibility in the central urban area and low accessibility in suburban areas;the spatial distribution of elderly care institutions was uneven,with more institutions,and better utilization of elderly care service resources in the main urban area,while scarce institutions in suburban areas which could not meet the demands of the increasing aging population.The research results on different types of elderly care institutions showed that the distribution of the three types of elderly care institutions presented an obvious"center-periphery"pattern,with private elderly care institutions having the largest area in high value zone of accessibility,followed by public-private partnership elderly care institutions,while public elderly care institutions occupying the smallest area;in terms of radiation range,public-private partnership institutions owned the widest radiation area,followed by private elderly care institutions,while public elderly care institutions having the smallest radiation area.Based on the results,this article proposed reasonable suggestions for the distribution of elderly care institutions in

关 键 词：养老机构 两步移动搜索法 相关性分析 可达性 徐州市 

分 类 号：F294[经济管理—国民经济]