纺织服装产业链韧性空间演化研究  

Research on the spatial evolution of resilience in the textile and apparel industry chain

作　　者：田赛 乐凯迪 金瑞娟 张立杰[1,2] TIAN Sai;LE Kaidi;JIN Ruijuan;ZHANG Lijie(School of Economics and Management,Xinjiang University,Urumqi 830000,China;Xinjiang Center for High-Quality Macroeconomic Development Research,Xinjiang University,Urumqi 830000,China;Finance Bureau of Bayingolin Mongolian Autonomous Prefecture,Korla 841000,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆大学经济与管理学院,乌鲁木齐830000 [2]新疆大学新疆宏观经济高质量发展研究中心,乌鲁木齐830000 [3]新疆巴音郭楞蒙古自治州财政局,新疆库尔勒841000

出　　处：《丝绸》2025年第4期28-37,共10页Journal of Silk

基　　金：新疆维吾尔自治区社会科学基金项目(20AZD004)。

摘　　要：在外部形势日趋复杂的背景下,讨论纺织服装产业链韧性水平,揭示其空间演进规律显得很有必要。文章从抵抗力、恢复力和转型力三个角度,构建了纺织服装产业链韧性评价指标体系,对2012—2022年中国31个省市区的韧性水平进行衡量,利用泰尔指数和探索性空间数据分析方法,分析产业链韧性空间演化过程。研究发现,中国纺织服装产业链韧性整体呈上升趋势,地区韧性水平差距显著;韧性次热点区和中间区逐渐增多,冷点区减少,并形成了“一点一带”高水平的空间发展格局;经济区域分组韧性水平呈“东、中、西、东北地区”递减状态,区域存在明显差异且呈波动缩小态势,差异来源主要是组间差异;韧性水平存在正向空间自相关性,头部地区与相邻省份形成了区域协同发展。The textile and apparel industry is a traditional pillar industry,an important livelihood industry,and a highly competitive advantageous industry in China.China’s textile and apparel manufacturing capabilities have long been at the forefront globally,establishing a comprehensive textile and apparel industry chain system.Against the backdrop of the global supply chain and value chain restructuring,China faces headwinds from developed European and American countries targeting advantageous industries such as the textile and apparel sector.In 2018,the escalation of Sino-American trade frictions led to the detention of billions of dollars’worth of Chinese textile and apparel products,compressing the profit margins of related enterprises.The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 restricted production,distribution,and consumption,highlighting the survival crisis for numerous textile and apparel companies.In the post-pandemic era,global economic growth has been significantly below expectations,with weak external demand dragging down exports and insufficient internal demand,exacerbating the supply-demand imbalance and further intensifying the survival crisis for textile and apparel enterprises.The Central Economic Work Conference in 2021 clearly proposed that the security and stability of industrial and supply chains are the foundation of building a new development pattern,and enhancing the autonomy and controllable capabilities of industrial and supply chains should be a key task.The stability of the industrial chain is the basis for achieving industrial transformation and upgrading as well as high-quality economic development.Therefore,creating a resilient textile and apparel industry chain capable of effectively responding to risk shocks and recovering smoothly has become an inevitable choice in dealing with complex external situations.However,studies on the evaluation of textile and apparel industry chain resilience and the patterns of spatial evolution are rarely found in the literature,and how to enhance the

关 键 词：纺织服装产业链 产业链韧性 评价指标体系 产业安全 空间演化 区域协同发展 

分 类 号：F426.81[经济管理—产业经济]