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作 者:黄珊 蒋金荷 李均超[1] HUANG Shan;JIANG Jinhe;LI Junchao
机构地区:[1]中国社会科学院大学应用经济学院,北京102488 [2]中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所,北京100732
出 处:《经济问题探索》2025年第3期86-105,共20页Inquiry Into Economic Issues
基 金:国家社会科学基金重大项目“统筹推进碳达峰碳中和与扩大内需战略研究”(24VRC030),项目负责人:张友国。
摘 要:发展数字经济、推进人与自然和谐共生的现代化是实现高质量发展的重要举措。基于城市层面数字经济发展水平的测算结果,结合地理遥感数据,采用耦合协调度模型、Dagum基尼系数以及双向固定效应模型等,本文探究了2010—2021年数字经济对经济发展与环境保护协调水平的影响效应及内在机制。研究发现:(1)全国及八大综合经济区的经济与环境耦合协调度均表现为整体上升态势。(2)数字经济能够显著推动城市经济与环境耦合协调发展,并经过Bartik IV、广义随机森林模型等一系列稳健性检验后依然成立。(3)数字经济的赋能效应可以通过刺激绿色产业发展、提高绿色全要素生产率以及助力绿色金融发展等机制实现。(4)在区位禀赋较弱、资源错配程度较高以及金融贷款规模较低的地区,该赋能效应更为突出。对此,应因势利导充分发挥数字经济的赋能作用,加快推进发展方式绿色转型,以高品质生态环境支撑高质量发展。Developing the digital economy and comprehensively promoting the modernization of harmonious coexistence between man and nature are important measures to achieve high-quality development.Based on the measurement results of the digital economy development level at the city level,combined with geographical remote-sensing data,and by using models such as the coupling coordination degree model,Dagum Gini coefficient,two-way fixed-effects model,this paper explores the impact effect and internal mechanism of the digital economy on the coordination level between economic development and environmental protection from 2010 to 2021.The results show that:(1)The coupling coordination degree of the economy and environment of the whole country and the eight comprehensive economic zones showed an overall upward trend.(2)Digital economy significantly promotes the coupling and coordination level of urban economy and environment,and after a series of robustness tests such as Bartik instrumental variable(IV)and generalized random forest model,the conclusion is still valid.(3)Mechanism analysis shows that the promotion effect of the digital economy can be achieved by stimulating the development of green industries,improving green total factor productivity,and facilitating the development of green finance.(4)Heterogeneity analysis shows that this promoting effect is more prominent in regions with weaker geographical endowments,higher degree of resource mismatch,and lower scale of financial loans.In this regard,we should take advantage of the situation to give full play to the enabling role of the digital economy,accelerate the green transformation of development mode,and support high-quality development with a high-quality ecological environment.
关 键 词:数字经济 人与自然和谐共生的现代化 耦合协调
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