电子商务发展与工业集聚——来自国家电子商务示范城市的准自然实验  

On E-commerce Development and Industrial Agglomeration——A Quasi-natural Experiment from National E-commerce Demonstration Cities

作　　者：吴薇[1] Wu Wei(Huzhou Vocational and Technical College,Huzhou,Zhejiang 313000,China)

机构地区：[1]湖州职业技术学院,浙江湖州313000

出　　处：《漯河职业技术学院学报》2025年第2期59-63,共5页Journal of Luohe Vocational and Technical College

基　　金：湖州市哲学社会科学课题“农村电商助推‘幸福新湖州’建设的路径研究”(23hzghy123)。

摘　　要：基于电子商务对城市工业分散化影响的视角,采用2006年至2022年中国城市面板数据,以国家电子商务示范城市建设为“准自然实验”,运用渐进双重差分方法(DID)检验城市电子商务发展对工业集聚的影响效应。研究发现,城市电子商务发展对工业集聚具有显著抑制作用。经过一系列稳健性检验后,结论依然成立,为城市把握电子商务发展机遇、推动城市电商高质量发展、助力城市产业结构优化提供了政策启示。From the perspective of the impact of e-commerce on urban industrial decentralization, this paper uses the panel data in Chinese cities from 2006 to 2022,takes the construction of national e-commerce demonstration cities as a“quasi-natural experiment”,and employs the progressive difference-in-difference(DID)method to examine the impact of urban e-commerce development on industrial agglomeration. It is found that the development of urban e-commerce significantly inhibits industrial agglomeration, and the conclusion remains valid after a series of robustness tests, which provides policy implications for cities to seize the opportunities of e-commerce development, promote the high-quality development of urban e-commerce, and facilitate the optimization of urban industrial structures.

关 键 词：国家电子商务示范城市 工业集聚 双重差分 

分 类 号：F263[经济管理—国民经济]