中国对“一带一路”沿线国家出口文化产品的影响因素研究——基于随机前沿引力模型的实证分析  

A Study on the Factors Influencing China's Cultural Product Exports to Belt and Road Countries:An Empirical Analysis Based on the Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model

作　　者：刘文豪 许振晓 Liu Wenhao;Xu Zhenxiao(Alibaba Business School,Hangzhou Normal University)

机构地区：[1]杭州师范大学阿里巴巴商学院

出　　处：《经济界》2025年第2期58-68,共11页Economic Affairs

摘　　要：文章基于2009—2019年中国对50个“一带一路”沿线国家的文化产品出口贸易数据,引入贸易非效率项因素,实证分析了沿线各国的经济规模和知识产权保护水平等因素对我国文化产品出口的影响。借助随机前沿引力模型验证了进口国人口规模、进口国人均GDP和我国人均GDP对我国文化产品出口具有正向影响,而地理距离和我国人口规模具有负向影响;利用贸易非效率模型发现知识产权保护水平、贸易开放度、经济自由度、是否是WTO成员和自由贸易协定对我国文化产品出口具有正向影响;通过异质性分析,进一步判断各国知识产权保护水平在文化产品细分类型出口中发挥的不同作用。基于此,文章提出通过与各国积极开展知识产权相关合作;构建知识产权争端解决机制;针对各国知识产权保护水平的差异,加强文化产品出口的细分;推进各国知识产权保护的资源共享等途径促进我国文化产品出口的高质量发展。This study analyzes China's cultural product exports to 50 Belt and Road countries(2009-2019),examining how factors like economic scale and intellectual property protection influence trade.Using the stochastic frontier gravity model,it finds that importing country population,GDP per capita,and China's GDP per capita boost exports,while geographical distance and China's population hinder them.The trade inefficiency model shows intellectual property protection,trade openness,economic freedom,WTO membership,and free trade agreements positively affect exports.Heterogeneity analysis reveals varying roles of intellectual property protection across cultural product types.The article recommends enhancing exports through intellectual property cooperation,dispute resolution mechanisms,targeted segmentation,and resource sharing.

关 键 词：“一带一路” 文化产品出口 知识产权保护水平 影响因素 随机前沿引力模型 

分 类 号：D92[政治法律—法学]