广东省沿海港口物流效率评价及影响因素研究  

Assessment of Coastal Port Logistics Efficiency and Analysis of Influencing Factors in Guangdong Province

作　　者：石思文 饶小玉 韩瑜 周毅 SHI Siwen;RAO Xiaoyu;HAN Yu;ZHOU Yi(School of Business,Guangdong AIB Polytechnic,Guangzhou 510000,Guangdong,China;School of Logistics,Beijing Wuzi University,Beijing 101149,China;School of Management and Engineering,Capital University of Economics and Business,Beijing 100070,China)

机构地区：[1]广东农工商职业技术学院商学院,广东广州510000 [2]北京物资学院物流学院,北京101149 [3]首都经济贸易大学管理工程学院,北京100070

出　　处：《铁道运输与经济》2025年第4期39-47,共9页Railway Transport and Economy

基　　金：广东省普通高校青年创新人才类项目(2022WQNCX175);广东省高职院校产教融合创新平台项目(2023CJPT008);广东农工商职业技术学院校级科研重点项目(2024XJKYZD03)。

摘　　要：随着经济全球化的深入与物流业进入高质量发展阶段,广东省沿海港口群提高港口物流效率对于港口群提升国际竞争力、促进区域经济发展,以及构建广东省港口“一核两极”发展格局具有重要意义。通过构建投入产出指标体系,利用DEA-Tobit模型及收敛性分析对广东省沿海港口2016—2020年物流效率及其影响因素进行分析。结果表明,广东省沿海港口总体物流效率较高,但各港口之间物流效率存在较大差距,且差距存在先增大后稳定再缩小的过程。在影响因素分析中,区位因素、信息化程度、产业结构及政府干预均与物流效率呈显著正相关;区域科技实力与物流效率之间呈显著负相关,但相关系数较小;而地区物流业发展水平对物流效率没有显著关系。最后,对广东省沿海港口物流业的发展提出了相关对策建议。As economic globalization deepens,and the logistics industry enters a phase of highquality development,improving port logistics efficiency in the Guangdong coastal port cluster is of great significance for enhancing international competitiveness,promoting regional economic development,and constructing the“one core and two poles”development pattern of Guangdong ports.This study constructed an input-output index system and used the DEA-Tobit model combined with convergence analysis to examine the logistics efficiency and influencing factors of Guangdong coastal ports from 2016 to 2020.The results show that while the overall logistics efficiency of Guangdong coastal ports is relatively high,significant disparities exist among these ports,with gaps initially widening,then stabilizing,and finally narrowing.Among the influencing factors,location,informatization level,industrial structure,and government intervention all demonstrate significant positive correlations with logistics efficiency.Regional technological strength shows a significant negative correlation with logistics efficiency,though the correlation coefficient is small.Meanwhile,the regional logistics industry development level shows no significant relationship with logistics efficiency.Finally,countermeasures and suggestions are proposed for the development of coastal port logistics in Guangdong Province.

关 键 词：港口物流效率 收敛性分析 影响因素 DEA TOBIT 

分 类 号：U691[交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程] U2[交通运输工程—船舶与海洋工程]