以人口高质量发展支撑中国式现代化:形势、战略与进路  

Supporting Chinese-style Modernization with High-quality Population Development:Situation,Strategy,and Pathways

作　　者：原新[1] 金牛 Yuan Xin;Jin Niu

机构地区：[1]南开大学经济学院 [2]天津财经大学财税与公共管理学院

出　　处：《社会政策研究》2025年第2期3-14,132,共13页Social Policy Research

基　　金：国家社会科学基金青年项目“基于人口高质量发展的多维人口红利转变研究”(项目批准号:24CRK001)的阶段性成果。

摘　　要：在全面建设社会主义现代化国家的进程中,实现以人口高质量发展支撑中国式现代化的宏大目标,需要科学认识人口形势特征的新常态,包括少子化与减量化交汇、长寿化与老龄社会交叠、出生性别比偏高与社会性别比失衡交互、人力资本优质化与高等教育“双千万时代”交织、流动迁移活跃与区域人口增减分化交融、婚姻家庭简约化与缩减化并行。基于此,亟待把握人口与生产力相适应、积极应对人口老龄化、就业优先、城乡融合发展等集成战略,在“一小一中一老”的主线任务中,探寻健全人口发展支持和服务体系的政策进路。In the process of comprehensively building a modern socialist country,achieving the grand goal of supporting Chinese-style modernization with high-quality population development requires a scientific understanding of the new normal in population trends.This includes the intersection of declining birth rates and population reduction,the overlap of longevity and an aging society,the interaction of high birth sex ratios and gender imbalances,the intertwining of high-quality human capital and the"dual ten-million era"of higher education,the blending of active migration and regional population changes,and the parallel trends of simplified and shrinking family structures.Based on this,it is urgent to grasp integrated strategies such as aligning population with productivity,actively responding to population aging,prioritizing employment,and promoting urban-rural integrated development.Within the main tasks of"focusing on the young,the middle-aged,and the elderly,"we must explore policy pathways to improve the population development support and service system.

关 键 词：人口高质量发展 中国式现代化 人口新常态 人口发展支持和服务体系 

分 类 号：G64[文化科学—高等教育学]