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作 者:杨海军[1] 邹银 袁嘉慧 YANG Haijun;ZOU Yin;YUAN Jiahui(School of Economics and Management,Nanchang Hangkong University,Nanchang 330063,China;School of Taxation and Public Administration,Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang 330013,China)
机构地区:[1]南昌航空大学经济管理学院,江西南昌330063 [2]江西财经大学财税与公共管理学院,江西南昌330013
出 处:《财经论丛》2025年第4期29-40,共12页Collected Essays on Finance and Economics
基 金:江西省社会科学“十四五”(2023年)项目(23WT70)。
摘 要:基于2011—2021年的省份面板数据,采用定量模型探讨农业技术创新对农业经济韧性的影响机理。研究显示,农业经济韧性呈波动增长态势,地区差异性较大并出现多极分化现象;农业技术创新显著增强农业经济韧性,分维度的检验结果表明农业技术创新显著提高农业经济系统的适应能力和变革能力;农业技术创新通过促进农业产业结构升级和提高劳动生产效率增强农业经济韧性;农业技术创新对粮食主产区的农业经济韧性的促进作用较强,而主销区和产销平衡区的效果不显著;农业技术创新显著增强东部和中部地区的农业经济韧性。基于上述的研究结论,立足于农业经济发展现状,为增强农业经济韧性提出相应的政策建议。Based on the provincial panel data from 2011 to 2021,a quantitative model is used to explore the influence mechanism of agricultural technology innovation and agricultural economic toughness.The study shows that the toughness of the agricultural economy exhibits a fluctuating growth trend with large regional variability and multi-polarization.In addition,agricultural technology innovation significantly improves the toughness of the agricultural economy.At the same time,the sub-dimension shows that agricultural technological innovation can significantly improve the adaptive capacity and change the ability of the agricultural economic system.Furthermore,mechanism test has found that agricultural technological innovation enhances agricultural economic resilience by upgrading industrial structures and improving labor efficiency.Meanwhile,the heterogeneity analysis shows that agricultural technological innovation promotes agricultural economic resilience of the main food producing areas more strongly,and the main marketing areas and production and marketing balance areas are not significant.Moreover,agricultural technological innovation significantly enhances agricultural economic resilience in the eastern and central regions.Meanwhile,agricultural technology innovation has a stronger effect on the promotion of agricultural economic resilience in the main grain-producing areas,while the effect in the main marketing areas and production and marketing areas is not significant.Based on the above research and the current situation of agricultural economic development,the corresponding suggestions are put forward to enhance the resilience of the agricultural economy.
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