考虑不确定性的冷热电联供综合能源低碳优化调度运行  

Low Carbon Optimized Scheduling and Operation of Combined Cooling,Heating and Power Generation Energy Considering Uncertainty

作　　者：黄保乐 冷程浩 赵竟[1] HUANG Baole;LENG Chenghao;ZHAO Jing(Guodian Nanjing Automation Co.,Ltd.,Nanjing 211100,Jiangsu,China)

机构地区：[1]国电南京自动化股份有限公司,江苏南京211100

出　　处：《电力大数据》2025年第2期1-9,共9页Power Systems and Big Data

基　　金：国家重点研发计划资助项目(2021YFE0102400)。

摘　　要：随着“双碳”目标和新型电力系统建设的加速推进,如何确保风能、太阳能等可再生能源的安全、稳定利用,并有效减少碳排放,已成为构建综合能源系统过程中亟待解决的关键问题。该文以系统参与电力市场购、售电交易和新能源消纳为前提,以含冷、热、电等多类型的综合能源系统运行成本和碳排放量最低为优化目标,构建了考虑风光资源不确定性的综合能源系统优化调度模型。通过选取南方某办公园区作为案例进行优化仿真,分析了负荷曲线形状、分时电价、风光资源不确定性等因素对系统运行的影响。仿真结果显示,该综合能源系统的每日运行成本为9025.6元,碳排放为7442.7 kg。研究结果表明,所构建的优化调度模型在确保系统经济性的同时,也兼顾了环保性。因此,该模型可为含风、光等不确定性资源的综合能源系统优化运行提供参考。With the acceleration of the"dual carbon"target and the construction of new power systems,how to ensure the safe and stable utilization of renewable energy such as wind and solar energy,and effectively reduce carbon emissions,has become a key issue that urgently needs to be addressed in the process of building a comprehensive energy system.This article takes the participation of the system in the purchase and sale of electricity in the electricity market and the consumption of new energy as the prerequisite.The optimization objective is to minimize the operating cost and carbon emissions of a comprehensive energy system containing multiple energy types such as cooling,heating,and electricity.A comprehensive energy system optimization scheduling model considering the uncertainty of wind and solar resources is constructed,.And by selecting an office park in the south as a case study for optimization simulation,the impact of factors such as load curve shape,time of use electricity price,and uncertainty of wind and solar resources on system operation was analyzed,.The simulation results show that the operating cost of the integrated energy system is 9025.6 yuan and the carbon emissions are 7442.7 kg.The research results indicate that the comprehensive energy system optimization scheduling model constructed in this article can ensure system economy while also considering environmental protection,.Therefore,this model can provide valuable reference for optimizing the operation of integrated energy systems containing uncertain resources such as wind and light.

关 键 词：综合能源系统 不确定性资源 场景生成 优化调度 

分 类 号：TM73[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]