2024年天然气市场回顾与2025年展望  

Natural Gas Market:2024 Review and 2025 Outlook

作　　者：孔欣怡 刘潇潇 马莉 高珊珊 刘玥茜 Kong Xinyi;Liu Xiaoxiao;Ma Li;Gao Shanshan;Liu Yuexi(SINOPEC Economics&Development Research Institute Company Limited,China Petrochemical Consulting Company Limited,Beijing 100029,China)

机构地区：[1]中国石化集团经济技术研究院有限公司,中国石化咨询有限责任公司,北京100029

出　　处：《当代石油石化》2025年第3期1-6,44,共7页Petroleum & Petrochemical Today

摘　　要：2024年全球天然气市场供需情况得到改善,天然气价格受多重因素影响,较2023年同期有所下降。我国经济持续呈现复苏向好的发展态势,天然气消费持续增长,在增储上产和管道、液化天然气(LNG)接收站及地下储气库等基础设施建设方面取得新进展,国内产供储销体系更加健全。预计2025年全球天然气供需将进一步收紧,国际天然气价格仍将处于相对高位。随着我国经济恢复,天然气需求将持续增长,供应总体宽松。In 2024,the global natural gas market saw a year-on-year improvement in supply-demand conditions,with gas prices fluctuating due to multiple factors,and major market prices declining compared to the same period in 2023.China's economy continued its sustained recovery and improvement,driving steady growth in natural gas consumption.New progress was made in increasing reserves and production,as well as in infrastructure construction,including pipelines,LNG terminals,and underground gas storage facilities,further strengthening the domestic production-supply-storage-sales system.In 2025,global natural gas supply and demand are expected to tighten further,with international gas prices remaining at relatively high levels.As the economy continues to recover,domestic natural gas demand will grow continuously,while overall supply remains ample.

关 键 词：天然气 供需 液化天然气 天然气价格 能源安全 

分 类 号：F42[经济管理—产业经济]