基于DEA的粤港澳大湾区经济协同发展水平测度  

Measurement of the economic synergetic development level of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area based on DEA

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作  者:陈龙芳 Chen Longfang(Zhuhai College of Science and Technology,Zhuhai,Guangdong 519041)

机构地区:[1]珠海科技学院,广东珠海519041

出  处:《北方经贸》2025年第3期109-116,共8页Northern Economy and Trade

基  金:珠海市2023年度哲学社科规划项目(2023GJ061)。

摘  要:粤港澳大湾区建设旨在推动粤港澳三地融合发展,成为新时代中国高质量经济增长的关键增长极,是中国区域经济协同发展的典范。实现协同发展的前提在于科学合理地评价系统协同发展度。文章运用扩展的DEA模型,评价2010-2019年粤港澳大湾区经济协同发展度,揭示其时空演变特征。研究结果显示:粤港澳大湾区经济协同发展水平处于高级阶段,已经由共生发展向融合发展演化,但尚未达到DEA有效。其中,港澳地区最高,珠三角最低且区内差异明显,珠江口东岸高于西岸。经济协同发展水平呈总体上升趋势,个别年份有小幅波动,区域内协同发展水平差异整体呈收敛趋势。十年来,粤港澳大湾区经济协同发展内湾整体上升,环湾、外湾相对下降,出现明显空间集聚,呈东高西低、内湾—环湾—外湾递减的层级分布特征。The construction of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area aims to promote the integrated development of Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao,become a key pole of high-quality economic growth in China in the new era,and serve as a model for coordinated regional economic development in China.The premise of realizing the synergetic development lies in the scientific and reasonable degree of synergetic development of the evaluation system.In this paper,the extended DEA model is used to evaluate the degree of the economic synergetic development of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area from 2010 to 2019,and reveals the characteristics of its temporal and spatial evolution.The research results show that the economic synergetic development level of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is at an advanced stage and has evolved from symbiotic development to integrated development,but it has not yet reached DEA efficiency.Among Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao,the highest in Hong Kong and Macao,the lowest in Pearl River Delta and the regional differences are obvious.The east coast of Pearl River Delta is higher than the west coast.The level of the economic synergetic development showed an overall upward trend,with small fluctuations in some years,and the difference in the level of economic synergetic development within the region showed a overall convergence trend.Over the past ten years,the economic synergetic development of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area increased in the inner bay,while decreased in the outer bay and the ring Bay,with obvious spatialagglomeration,showing a hierarchical distribution charact-eristics of high in the east and low in the west,and decreasing in Inner Bay,Ring Bay and Outer Bay.

关 键 词:DEA 粤港澳大湾区 经济协同发展 综合效度 

分 类 号:F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]

 

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