经济作物存在效益比较优势前提下平度市粮经作物播种面积保持稳定的影响因素研究  

Research on the Influencing Factors of Grain and Cash Crops Sown Area Remaining Stable in Pingdu City Under the Premise of Benefit Comparative Advantage of Cash Crop

作　　者：孟美翠 牟少岩[1] MENG Meicui;MU Shaoyan(School of Economics and Management(Cooperative College),Qingdao Agricultural University,Qingdao 266109,China)

机构地区：[1]青岛农业大学经济管理学院(合作社学院),山东青岛266109

出　　处：《青岛农业大学学报(社会科学版)》2025年第1期45-52,61,共9页Journal of Qingdao Agricultural University(Social Science)

摘　　要：本文基于2023年平度市农户调研数据,运用Cloglog模型实证分析了经济作物存在效益比较优势前提下平度市粮经作物播种面积保持稳定的影响因素。研究结果表明:农户对风险的厌恶程度、邻里效应及粮食安全政策力度对经济作物播种面积保持稳定具有正向促进作用,而经济作物生产的社会化服务水平则对其呈现抑制作用。因此,政府须积极研发与推广粮食新品种新技术提高粮食产量,加强粮食生产基础设施建设以降低粮食生产成本,进行宣传引导增强农户粮食安全意识,合理利用邻里效应促进粮食作物播种面积保持稳定。Based on the research data of farmers in Pingdu City in 2023,this paper empirically analyzes the influencing factors of the sown area of grain and cash crops remaining stable in Pingdu City under the premise of the existence of the comparative advantage of benefits of cash crops by using the Cloglog model.The results found that farmers'risk aversion,neighborhood effect and food security policy strength positively contributed to the maintenance of a stable sown area of cash crops,while the level of socialization services for cash crop production showed a dampening effect.Therefore,the government must actively develop and promote new food varieties and technologies to increase food production,strengthening food production infrastructure to reduce the cost of food production,sensitization and guidance to increase farmers'awareness of food security,rational use of the neighborhood effect to promote the stabilization of the area sown to grain crops.

关 键 词：比较优势 粮食作物 经济作物 播种面积 平度市 

分 类 号：F310[经济管理—产业经济] F327F326.11F326.12