新质生产力水平测度、区域差异与复合系统协同度研究  

The Measurement of New Quality Productive Forces,Regional Difference and the Analysis of Synergy Degree of Complex System

作　　者：施雄天 余正勇 Shi Xiongtian;Yu Zhengyong(School of Business Administration and Tourism Management,Yunnan University,Kunming 650500,China)

机构地区：[1]云南大学工商管理与旅游管理学院,云南昆明650500

出　　处：《科技进步与对策》2025年第7期9-20,共12页Science & Technology Progress and Policy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(72464036);教育部人文社会科学基金青年项目(22YJC790039)。

摘　　要：基于新质生产力概念,从新制造、新服务和新业态3个维度构建我国新质生产力水平评价指标体系,采用熵权TOPSIS法和全排列多边形法进行测度和性能评价,结合Dagum基尼系数和复合系统协同度模型分析区域差异和系统协同度。研究发现:①我国新质生产力水平逐年上升,呈“东部>中部>西部>东北”的梯度分布态势,各区域发展不均衡性显著;②整体性能在“一般”和“较好”之间波动,全球性危机下凸显出增强韧性的必要性;③区域差异缩小趋势明显,主要由组间差异引起,东部与西部、东北地区差异尤为显著;④整体复合系统协同度上升,东部地区协同度较高,中部和西部地区需加强新制造与新服务融合,东北地区需优化制造业与新业态协同机制。Regional economic imbalance is a longstanding challenge to the holistic economic and social progress.Although scholarly work has extensively analyzed the roots and consequences of these disparities,there is an unmet need for research that examines regional economic differences from the perspective of new quality productive forces.The integration of labor's core components—objects,materials,and tools—with regional economic variations remains underexplored.Additionally,current studies inadequately address how regional disparities in technological innovation,green development,and the digital economy influence the development of new quality productive forces and the mechanisms involved.This gap in research presents an opportunity for further exploration and understanding.This study comprehensively evaluates China's new quality productive forces(NQP),focusing on regional disparities and the synergies among three critical components:new manufacturing,new services,and new business models.NQP is increasingly recognized as a crucial driver of modern economic development,encapsulating innovations across production and service sectors while reflecting the ongoing transformation of economic activities within the country.To conduct this evaluation,a robust measurement system is established that incorporates advanced methodologies,including the entropy-weighted technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution(TOPSIS)method and the full permutation polygon method.These techniques facilitate a nuanced understanding of NQP levels across various regions.Additionally,the Dagum Gini coefficient and complex system synergy models are utilized to analyze both regional differences in NQP and the overall synergy within the system,capturing the complexity of productive forces variations and their implications for regional economic policies.The findings indicate a steady increase in NQP across China,showcasing a clear gradient distribution characterized by"East>Central>West>Northeast".This gradient underscores significant

关 键 词：新质生产力水平 熵权TOPSIS 区域差异 复合系统协同度 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]