城市群一体化对经济高质量发展的影响研究——基于黄河流域城市群规划批复的准自然实验  

A Study on the Impact of Urban Agglomeration Integration on High-Quality Economic Development:A Quasi-Natural Experiment Based on the Approval of the Yellow River Basin Urban Agglomeration Plan

作　　者：魏豪豪 刘新愿 WEI Haohao;LIU Xinyuan(School of Economics,Henan University,Kaifeng 475001,China)

机构地区：[1]河南大学经济学院,河南开封475001

出　　处：《经济经纬》2025年第2期16-28,共13页Economic Survey

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(19BTJ005);河南大学研究生教育创新与质量提升工程项目(SYLYC2023009)。

摘　　要：以黄河流域城市群规划批复为准自然实验,基于2005—2021年中国137个城市的面板数据,采用双重差分模型检验城市群一体化对经济高质量发展的影响作用。研究发现:城市群一体化能够显著提升城市经济高质量发展水平,该结论在一系列稳健性检验之后仍然成立。异质性分析表明,城市群一体化的政策效应在第二批进入城市、高经济发展水平城市和中心城市中影响更加显著。机制检验结果表明,城市群一体化政策通过技术创新、产业结构升级和资源配置效率优化促进城市经济高质量发展,其中技术创新路径对中心城市的影响较大,产业结构升级和资源配置效率路径对外围城市影响更大。研究结论不仅有助于深化理解以城市群一体化为代表的区域协调发展战略对新时代中国高质量发展的作用效果,也为地方政府借助城市群一体化政策充分发掘区域经济潜能、把握经济高质量发展新机遇、拓展经济发展新空间提供了政策支撑。Based on the approval of the Yellow River Basin Urban Agglomeration Plan as a quasi-natural experiment,this study employs a difference-in-differences(DID)model and panel data from 137 Chinese cities during the period of 2005-2021 to examine the impact of urban agglomeration integration on high-quality economic development.The study finds that urban agglomeration integration can significantly enhance the level of high-quality economic development in cities.This conclusion remains valid after a series of robustness tests.The heterogeneous analysis indicates that the policy effects of urban agglomeration integration are more pronounced in cities that entered in the second batch,cities with higher levels of economic development,and central cities.The mechanism test results show that the policy of urban agglomeration integration promotes high-quality economic development in cities through technological innovation,industrial structure upgrading and optimization of resource allocation efficiency.Among these,the pathway of technological innovation has a greater impact on central cities,while the pathways of industrial structure upgrading and resource allocation efficiency have a more significant influence on peripheral cities.The research conclusions not only contribute to a deeper understanding of the role and impact of regional coordinated development strategies,represented by urban agglomeration integration,on high-quality development in China’s new era,but also provide policy support for local governments to fully explore regional economic potential,seize new opportunities for high-quality economic development,and expand new space for economic growth through urban agglomeration integration policies.

关 键 词：黄河流域 城市群一体化 经济高质量发展 产业结构升级 资源配置效率优化 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]