基于空间Markov链模型的广西物流产业数字化高质量发展动态演变趋势研究  

Research on the Dynamic Evolution Trend of Digital and High-Quality Development of the Logistics Industry in Guangxi Based on the Spatial Markov Chain Model

作　　者：王小琴 周春霞 牟浩琪 WANG Xiaoqin;ZHOU Chunxia;MU Haoqi(School of Economics and Management,Beibu Gulf University,Qinzhou 535011,China)

机构地区：[1]北部湾大学经济管理学院,广西钦州535011

出　　处：《物流科技》2025年第6期26-29,共4页Logistics Sci Tech

基　　金：广西哲学社会科学规划研究课题“高质量发展背景下的广西物流产业数字化发展路径研究”(21FYJ038);2024年广西高等教育改革项目“平陆运河建设背景下物流管理专业新质生产力人才培养模式研究与实践”(2024JGA265)。

摘　　要：文章在前期测度广西14个地级市的物流产业数字化高质量发展水平的基础上,通过传统Kernel密度估计和空间Markov链模型,深入探讨了物流产业数字化高质量发展水平的转移规律和空间依赖特征。结果表明,广西各城市物流产业数字化高质量发展水平在逐渐提升,但仍存在显著的差异化发展现象;南宁等高水平地区具有显著的引领作用,而中低水平地区则表现出向中高水平转移的趋势。此外,空间因素在物流产业数字化高质量发展过程中具有重要影响。邻近高水平地区的城市更易实现高质量发展。在此基础上,文章从区域协同、差异化、科技创新等方面提出了对策建议,以期促进广西物流产业数字化高质量发展。Based on previous measurements of the digital and high-quality development level of the logistics industry in 14 prefecture-level cities in Guangxi,this paper delves into the transfer law and spatial dependence characteristics of the digital and high-quality development of the logistics industry through the traditional Kernel density estimation and the spatial Markov chain model.The results indicate that the digital and high-quality development level of the logistics industry in various cities in Guangxi is gradually improving,but there is a significant phenomenon of differentiated development.High-level areas such as Nanning play a prominent leading role,while medium and low level areas exhibit a trend of transitioning to medium and high levels.Furthermore,spatial factors have a significant impact on the process of digital and high-quality development of the logistics industry,and cities adjacent to high level areas are more likely to achieve high-quality development.Based on this,the paper proposes countermeasures and suggestions from the perspectives of regional collaboration,differentiation,and technological innovation to promote the digital and high-quality development of the logistics industry in Guangxi.

关 键 词：产业数字化 高质量发展 空间Markov链模型 广西 物流 

分 类 号：F259.27[经济管理—国民经济]