基于兵棋推演和体系仿真的联合作战体系能力评估方法  

Assessment Method for Joint Operational SoS Capability Based on Wargame and System Simulation

作　　者：王玉帅 司光亚[3] WANG Yushuai;SI Guangya(Graduate School,National Defense University,Beijing 100091,China;Unit 32179 of PLA,Beijing 100012,China;Joint Operation College,National Defense University,Beijing 100091,China)

机构地区：[1]国防大学研究生院,北京100091 [2]解放军32179部队,北京100012 [3]国防大学联合作战学院,北京100091

出　　处：《火力与指挥控制》2025年第3期85-91,共7页Fire Control & Command Control

摘　　要：作为典型的复杂巨系统,联合作战体系的复杂性特征决定了传统线性、单一的能力评估方法不再适用,亟需评估方法创新。基于作战实验进行联合作战体系能力评估已达成广泛共识。聚焦评估对象的复杂性特征以及评估内容的多样性要求,充分发挥兵棋推演和体系仿真的各自优势,在作战实验“设计-实施-分析”的基本框架下,依托“全局”“局部”以及“切片式”3类作战场景集的构设,探索提出联合作战体系能力多维度评估方法。As a typical complex system,the complexity of the joint operation system of systems(JOSoS)determines that traditional linear and single capability assessment methods are no longer applicable,and innovative assessment methods are urgently needed.Conducting joint operational system capability assessment based on operational experiment has gained widespread consensus.The complexity characteristics of the assessment objects and the diversity of assessment content are focused on,the respective advantages of war gaming and system simulation are given full play,and based on the basic framework of“design-implementation-analysis”of operational experiment,the multidimensional assessment method for the capability of joint operational systems is explored by constructing three types of operational scenario sets:“global”,“local”,and“sliced”.

关 键 词：体系能力评估 联合作战体系 兵棋推演 体系仿真 作战实验 

分 类 号：E917[军事] TP301[自动化与计算机技术—计算机系统结构]