新质生产力驱动农业农村现代化发展:机制与路径  

The modernization of agriculture and rural areas driven by new quality productivity:Mechanism and path

作　　者：殷静蔚 王鑫鑫 石琳 房琳 YIN Jing-yu;WANG Xin-xin;SHI Lin;FANG Lin(School of Economics and Management,Shangluo University,Shangluo726000,Shaanxi,China;The New Style Think Tank of Shaanxi Universities Shangluo Development Research Institute,Shangluo726000,Shaanxi,China)

机构地区：[1]商洛学院经济管理学院,陕西商洛726000 [2]陕西高校新型智库商洛发展研究院,陕西商洛726000

出　　处：《湖北农业科学》2025年第3期15-24,43,共11页Hubei Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：陕西省教育厅科研计划项目(22JK0061,2022HZ1145);2024年度陕西省哲学社会科学研究专项(2024QN223);商洛市科技局软科学项目(23SKJRK003);商洛学院横向课题(23HSKY148)。

摘　　要：以新质生产力与农业农村现代化发展作为研究主题,在阐析了新质生产力赋能农业农村现代化发展的理论逻辑上,基于各省的相关数据,使用熵值法和多元加权综合评价法测算了2010—2022年全国新质生产力指数和全国农业农村现代化发展指数,再借助门槛效应模型,实证检验了新质生产力对农业农村现代化发展的内在影响机制及作用机理。结果表明,新质生产力可以赋能农业农村现代化发展所必需的内生动力。当以政府管理效率作为门槛变量时,存在双门槛效应,但跨过门槛时,新质生产力发展对农业农村现代化发展的促进作用呈现“边际效应递减”的基本特征。当以市场化水平作为门槛变量时,存在单门槛效应,且处于低强度市场化时,新质生产力抑制农业农村现代化发展,但跨过门槛时,新质生产力对农业农村现代化发展的促进作用将呈现“边际效应递增”的基本特征,即随着市场化水平的提升,新质生产力的正效应随之增强。Taking the new quality productivity and the development of agricultural and rural modernization as the research theme,the theoretical logic of the new quality productivity enabling agricultural and rural modernization development was expounded.Based on the relevant data of various provinces,the entropy method and the multivariate weighted comprehensive evaluation method were used to measure the national new quality productivity index and the national agricultural and rural modernization development index from 2010 to 2022,and then the internal influence mechanism and action mechanism of new quality productivity on the development of agricultural and rural modernization were empirically tested with the help of the threshold effect model.The results showed that new quality productivity could empower the endogenous driving force necessary for the development of agricultural and rural modernization.When the government management efficiency was taken as the threshold variable,there was a double threshold effect,but when the threshold was crossed,the promotion effect of the development of new quality productivity on the development of agricultural and rural modernization presented the basic characteristics of"diminishing marginal effect".When the level of marketization was taken as the threshold variable,there was a single threshold effect,and when it was in the low-intensity marketization,the new quality productivity inhibited the development of agricultural and rural modernization,but when the threshold was crossed,the promotion effect of the new quality productivity on the development of agricultural and rural modernization would show the basic characteristics of"increasing marginal effect",that was,with the improvement of the level of marketization,the positive effect of the new quality productivity would be enhanced.

关 键 词：新质生产力 农业农村现代化 市场化水平 政府管理效率 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济]