基于多时间尺度耦合建模的电力市场与碳市场联动均衡机制研究  

Research on the Linkage Equilibrium Mechanism Between Power Market and Carbon Market Based on Multi-timescale Coupling Modeling

作　　者：卫子杰 荆朝霞[1] 季天瑶 WEI Zijie;JING Zhaoxia;JI Tianyao(School of Electric Power Engineering,South China University of Technology,Guangzhou 510641,Guangdong Province,China)

机构地区：[1]华南理工大学电力学院,广东省广州市510641

出　　处：《电网技术》2025年第4期1447-1458,I0036-I0038,共15页Power System Technology

摘　　要：电力市场与碳市场以发电行业为纽带,之间存在着复杂的联动关系。碳配额价格将会影响电力市场均衡结果,电力市场均衡结果也将影响发电行业碳排放量,进而影响碳配额价格。但是,由于两市场的运行时间颗粒度不同,导致两市场在时间尺度上存在复杂的耦合关系;发电商在进行两市场决策时时间边界不同,需要综合考虑两市场在时间尺度上的耦合以实现综合收益最大化。基于上述背景与问题,该文针对现有文献在电力市场与碳市场联动均衡和时间尺度耦合方面的不足,创新性地提出了一种电-碳市场多时间尺度耦合模型。该模型通过发电商的两阶段决策过程,模拟了中长期和现货阶段下电力市场和碳市场的动态均衡。使用IEEE 30节点系统进行仿真验证,结果表明模型能帮助电-碳市场下的发电商进行全年综合优化决策,并且能够准确反映不同时间尺度下电-碳市场的耦合关系。There is a complex linkage between the power market and the carbon market,with the power generators as the linkage.The price of carbon allowances will affect the equilibrium results of the power market,and the equilibrium results of the power market will also affect the carbon emissions of the power generation industry,which in turn will affect the price of carbon allowances.However,due to the different granularity of the operation time of the two markets,there is a complex coupling relationship between the two markets on the time scale;power generators have different time boundaries when making decisions in the two markets,and they need to comprehensively consider the coupling between the two markets on the time scale in order to achieve the maximisation of the comprehensive benefits.Based on the above background and problems,this paper innovatively proposes a multi-timescale coupling model based on the linkage equilibrium and timescale coupling between electricity and carbon markets.The model simulates the dynamic equilibrium of the electricity and carbon markets in the electricity forward market and spot market through the two-stage decision-making process of the generators.Validated by simulation in an IEEE 30 node system,the results show that the model can help generators make comprehensive optimisation decisions throughout the year,and can accurately reflect the coupling relationship of the power-carbon market under different time scales.

关 键 词：电力市场 碳市场 电-碳协同 多时间耦合 联合决策 

分 类 号：TM721[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]