台湾地区权力关系模式对两岸政策变迁的影响研究  

A Study on the Evolution of Cross-Strait Policies Under the Influence of Taiwan's Political Power Relations

作　　者：何淼 刘国深[1,2] He Miao;Liu Guoshen

机构地区：[1]厦门大学台湾研究院 [2]两岸关系和平发展协同创新中心

出　　处：《台湾研究》2025年第1期58-68,共11页Taiwan Studies

基　　金：2021年度国家社科基金教育学重大项目“中国台湾地区教育历史、现状与未来策略研究”(项目批准号:VOA210008)阶段性成果。

摘　　要：回顾李登辉至蔡英文四个执政周期中两岸政策的变迁历程,台湾当局的权力关系模式对其两岸政策的决策过程施加了系统性的影响。从制度规定上看,台湾地区领导人具有权力优势,对于两岸政策制定有主导力;但从实际运作面上看,行政与立法部门之间存在明显的制衡关系,而政党作为权力关系纽带也发挥重要作用。在此基础上“府、院、会、党”的互动关系组成了台湾地区权力关系的基本模式。本研究试图构建台湾地区权力关系模式与其两岸政策制定的互动模型,并以台湾地区政治运作的实际案例进行验证。研究发现,当台湾地区领导人处于权力关系的弱势地位时,通常以更为激进的两岸政策来巩固权力地位;当台湾地区领导人处于权力关系的优势地位时,通常以更温和的两岸政策规避风险。This study examines the evolution of cross-strait policies during the four administrations from Lee Teng-hui to Tsai Ing-wen,focusing on the systemic impact of Taiwan's complex power structure on the policy-making process.Normatively,Taiwan's power structure grants the leadership a dominant position,enabling them to exert significant influence over cross-strait policies.Operationally,this structure is marked by conflict between the executive and legislative branches,with political parties serving as critical intermediaries in the power network.The interaction among the"Presidency","Cabinet","Legislature",and political parties constitutes the fundamental model of Taiwan's power structure.This study constructs a model linking Taiwan's power structure to the evolution of crossstrait policies,validated through empirical analysis of Taiwan's political operations.Findings suggest that when Taiwan's leadership occupies a weaker position in the power structure,they often adopt more radical cross-strait policies to consolidate their power position.In contrast,when the leadership holds a stronger position,they tend to implement more moderate policies to mitigate risks associated with maintaining stability.

关 键 词：台湾地区政治 权力关系 两岸政策 模型建构 

分 类 号：D675.8[政治法律—政治学]