可用及不可用时段风能太阳能互补性评估方法研究  

Study on Wind and Solar Complementary Assessment Methods for Available and Unavailable Periods

作　　者：任国瑞 闫旭辰 王玮[1] 万杰[2] REN Guorui;YAN Xuchen;WANG Wei;WAN Jie(School of Control and Computer Engineering,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China;Laboratory for Space Environment and Physical Sciences,Harbin Institute of Technology,Harbin 150001,Heilongjiang Province,China)

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学控制与计算机工程学院,北京102206 [2]哈尔滨工业大学空间环境与物质科学研究院,黑龙江哈尔滨150001

出　　处：《动力工程学报》2025年第4期554-562,共9页Journal of Chinese Society of Power Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(52107091);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(2023YQ002)。

摘　　要：定义风能与太阳能出力波动幅度比,对相关系数进行改进来量化可用时段的互补性,并基于一种新能源出力不可用时长及对应时段另一新能源的出力幅度来定义不可用时段风能与太阳能的互补性评估指标。将所提出的指标用于评估黑龙江省风能与太阳能的互补性,同时分析了风能与太阳能装机容量比对互补性的影响。结果表明:相比黑龙江西部地区,东部地区风能与太阳能可用及不可用时段都表现出较大的互补性;在一年中,4月份风能与太阳能可用时段互补性较小,而不可用时段互补性在6月、7月和8月最小。The ratio of fluctuation amplitudes of wind and solar power was defined,and it was used to improve the correlation coefficients to quantify the complementarity during available periods.Meanwhile,based on the unavailability time of one new energy source and the output amplitude of the other new energy source in the corresponding period,the complementary evaluation indicator of wind and solar energy during the unavailability period was defined.The proposed indicators were used to assess the complementarity of wind and solar energy in Heilongjiang province,and the influence of the installed capacity ratio of wind and solar power on the complementarity was analyzed.Results show that compared with the western region of Heilongjiang,the available and unavailable periods of wind and solar energy in the eastern region show greater complementarity.Over a year,the available periods of wind and solar energy are less complementary in April,while the least complementary periods are available in June,July and August.

关 键 词：互补性 相关系数 波动幅度比 可用时段 不可用时段 新能源 

分 类 号：TK89[动力工程及工程热物理—流体机械及工程]