浙江省海水养殖系统脆弱性评价及障碍因子诊断  

Vulnerability Evaluation of Mariculture System and Diagnosis of Obstacle Factors in Zhejiang Province

作　　者：陈芳 许淑茹 付雨芳 王敏慧 CHEN Fang;XU Shuru;FU Yufang;WANG Minhui(School of Economic and Management,Zhejiang Ocean University,Zhoushan 316022,China;School of Electrical and Mechanical Engineering,Xinjiang Institute of Technology,Akesu 843100,China)

机构地区：[1]浙江海洋大学经济与管理学院,舟山316022 [2]新疆理工学院机电工程学院,阿克苏843100

出　　处：《海洋开发与管理》2024年第12期69-77,共9页Ocean Development and Management

基　　金：新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金项目(2021D01B41);国家级大学生创新创业训练计划项目(202210340069);浙江海洋大学大学生科研创新计划项目(2024-A-047)。

摘　　要：海水养殖是海洋渔业的重要组成部分。为促进浙江省海水养殖业的持续健康发展,从经济、社会和生态3个维度,分别考虑敏感性和应对能力,建立海水养殖系统脆弱性评价指标体系,运用人地耦合系统脆弱性评价模型与障碍度模型分析了浙江省海水养殖系统脆弱性的时序演变特征及障碍因素。结果表明:(1)经济系统的敏感性指数最高;社会系统的应对能力指数最高,脆弱性最强;(2)浙江省的人地耦合系统脆弱性趋势变化明显,以2011年为界限可分为波动下降和缓慢递减两个阶段;(3)对于单项指标障碍因子的诊断,经济系统敏感性和经济系统应对能力指标对人地耦合系统脆弱性的障碍作用相对来说更为突出,子系统障碍度由大到小排序为:经济系统脆弱性、社会系统脆弱性、生态系统脆弱性。Mariculture is a significant component of China's marine fisheries.To promote thesustainable and high-quality development of the mariculture industry in Zhejiang Province,avulnerability assessment index system for the mariculture system was established,consideringthe dimensions of economy,society,and ecology,along with sensitivity and response capacity.The vulnerability assessment model of coupled human-environment system and the obstacle de-gree model were used to analyze the temporal evolution characteristics and obstacle factors ofthe vulnerability of the mariculture system in Zhejiang Province.The results indicate thatt(1)The sensitivity index of the economic system is the highest;the response capacity index ofthe social system is the highest,and its vulnerability is the strongest;(2)The vulnerability trend of coupled human-environment system in Zhejiang Province changes obviously,taking2011 as the limit,it can be divided into two stages of fluctuation decline and slow decline.(3)For the diagnosis of single index obstacle factors,the sensitivity of economic system and the re-sponse capacity indicators of the economic system have a relatively more prominent obstacleeffect on the vulnerability of the coupled human-environment system.The order of subsystemobstacle degrees from large to small is as follows:economic system vulnerability,social systemvulnerability,ecological system vulnerability.

关 键 词：脆弱性 人地耦合系统 障碍因子 海水养殖 

分 类 号：F316.4[经济管理—产业经济] P74[天文地球—海洋科学]