东北三省数字经济与农业新质生产力耦合协调度及影响因素分析  

The Coupling Coordination Degree and Influencing Factors of Digital Economy and Agricultural New Quality Productive Forces in the Three Provinces of Northeast China

作　　者：冯志远 范仓海[1] FENG Zhiyuan;FAN Canghai(School of Public Affairs,Hohai University,Nanjing 211100,China)

机构地区：[1]河海大学公共管理学院,南京211100

出　　处：《河南科学》2025年第4期596-606,共11页Henan Science

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费项目(2018B21314)。

摘　　要：为研究东北三省数字经济与农业新质生产力的耦合协调度及其影响因素,基于数字经济与农业新质生产力的内涵构建评价指标,利用熵权法、耦合协调模型,分别测算2013—2022年东北三省数字经济与农业新质生产力两系统的综合发展水平及耦合协调度,并利用灰色关联度模型分析数字经济各指标对两系统耦合协调度的影响。研究发现:(1)东北三省的数字经济发展曲折且缓慢,部分城市出现衰退现象;农业新质生产力发展呈稳定上升趋势。(2)两系统耦合协调度呈缓慢波动上升,松嫩平原及辽宁中南部发展较好,边境城市发展相对落后。(3)从整体上看,数字基础设施建设维度对两系统耦合协调度影响程度最大;从省域层面分析,数字基础设施建设维度对黑龙江与辽宁两系统的耦合协调度影响最为显著,吉林集中在数字创新水平维度。To study the coupling coordination degree and influencing factors of digital economy and agricultural new quality productive forces in the three provinces of northeast China,this paper constructs evaluation indicators based on the connotations of digital economy and new quality productive forces in agriculture.By using the entropy weight method and coupling coordination model,the comprehensive development levels and coupling coordination degrees of the two systems in the three provinces of northeast China from 2013 to 2022 are calculated respectively.The grey relational degree model is used to analyze the influence of each indicator of digital economy on the coupling coordination degree of the two systems.The research finds that:①The development of digital economy in the three provinces of northeast China is tortuous and slow,some cities have a recession phenomenon.The development of new quality productive forces in agriculture shows a stable upward trend.②The coupling coordination degree of the two systems shows a slow fluctuating upward trend,with better development in the Songnen Plain and central and southern Liaoning,and relatively lagging development in border cities.③Overall,the dimension of digital infrastructure construction has the greatest impact on the coupling coordination degree of the two systems.From the provincial level,the dimension of digital infrastructure construction has the most significant impact on the coupling coordination degree of the two systems in Heilongjiang and Liaoning,while in Jilin,the impact is mainly concentrated in the dimension of digital innovation level.

关 键 词：东北三省 农业新质生产力 数字经济 耦合协调度 灰色关联度 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济] F49