无标度网络博弈的可再生能源交易策略与演化  

Trading Strategies for Renewable Energy and Evolution in Scale-Free Network Games

作　　者：冯彬 纳春宁[1] 潘欢[1] FENG Bin;NA Chunning;PAN Huan(School of Electronic and Electrical Engineering,Ningxia University,Yinchuan 750021,China;Wuzhong Branch,China Tower Corporation Ltd.,Wuzhong 751100,China)

机构地区：[1]宁夏大学电子与电气工程学院,宁夏银川750021 [2]中国铁塔股份有限公司吴忠分公司,宁夏吴忠751100

出　　处：《西北工程技术学报(中英文)》2025年第1期68-79,共12页Ningxia Engineering Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(62463026);宁夏自然科学基金项目(2023AAC03022)。

摘　　要：为了应对气候变化、能源危机和实现低碳能源转型,我国现阶段实施了可再生能源配额制(RPS)政策。但不同配额比例下RPS的实施受政策参数的影响较大,因此构建发电公司与售电公司的演化博弈模型,研究不同配额比例下政策参数变化对博弈双方的策略选择的影响显得尤为重要。基于演化博弈理论,利用无标度网络模拟博弈双方的网络演化。结果表明,中低配额时,奖惩机制对发电公司和售电公司参与可再生能源交易有积极影响,且发电成本越低,上网电价越高,发电公司选择可再生能源发电的比例演化到1.0的速度越快,但高配额时,高奖惩机制都不利于发电公司和售电公司参与可再生能源交易,甚至罚金越大,上网电价越高,售电公司退出交易的速度越快。因此,合理的政策参数与配额比例才是保障可再生能源配额制实施的关键。In order to cope with climate change and energy crisis,and to achieve a low-carbon energy transition,China has implemented the renewable portfolio standard(RPS).However,the implementation of the RPS under different quota ratios is greatly affected by policy parameters.Therefore,an evolutionary game model of power generators and power sellers was constructed,and the game evolution was simulated using a scale-free network to reveal the impact of policy parameter changes on the strategy choices of both players under different quota ratios.The results show that when the quota is at a medium-low level,the reward and punishment mechanism has a positive impact on the participation of power generators and power sellers in renewable energy trading.Moreover,the lower the power generation cost and the higher the price,the faster the power generators evolve their share of renewable energy generation to 1.0.However,when the quota is high,a high reward and punishment mechanism is detrimental to the participation of both players in renewable energy trading,and the larger the penalty and the higher the feed-in tariff,the faster the power sellers exit from trading.Therefore,reasonable policy parameters and quota ratios are the key to ensuring the implementation of the renewable energy quota system.

关 键 词：可再生能源配额制 演化博弈 无标度网络 

分 类 号：TM73[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]